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Short-run maquiladora employment dynamics in Tijuana

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Author Info

  • Roberto Coronado

    ()

  • Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.

    ()

  • Don P. Clark

    ()

Abstract

The Tijuana maquiladora sector has grown enormously over the past two decades. Short-term time series characteristics of this segment of the regional economy are analyzed in an attempt to clarify labor market behavior associated with this remarkable performance. Parameter estimation is accomplished using linear transfer function analysis. Data are drawn from the January 1980–December 2000 sample period. Empirical results indicate that real wage rates, maquiladora plants, United States industrial activity, and the real exchange rate of the peso play significant roles in determining month-to-month fluctuations in maquiladora employment. Sub-sample simulation exercises are conducted using a random walk benchmark in order to examine forecast accuracy. Empirical results indicate that the linear transfer function technique provides relatively accurate forecasts all step-lengths. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2004

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00168-004-0215-8
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Springer in its journal The Annals of Regional Science.

Volume (Year): 38 (2004)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 751-763

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Handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:38:y:2004:i:4:p:751-763

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Keywords: R15;

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Cited by:
  1. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Martha Patricia Barraza de Anda, 2004. "Maquiladora Prospects in a Global Economy," Development and Comp Systems 0408017, EconWPA.
  2. Thomas M. Fullerton, Jr. & Juan Carlos Vázquez Morales & Martha Patricia Barraza de Anda, 2011. "Dinamica de corto plazo del empleo en las maquiladoras de Reynosa, Tamaulipas," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 23-40, May.
  3. Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. & George Novela, 2010. "Metropolitan Maquiladora Econometric Forecast Accuracy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 124-140, September.
  4. Reyes-Loya, Manuel Lorenzo & Blanco, Lorenzo, 2008. "Measuring the importance of oil-related revenues in total fiscal income for Mexico," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2552-2568, September.
  5. Thomas Fullerton & Roberto Tinajero & Jorge Mendoza Cota, 2007. "An Empirical Analysis of Tijuana Water Consumption," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 35(3), pages 357-369, September.
  6. Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. & Barraza de Anda, Martha & Tinajero, Roberto, 2006. "Analisis Retrospectivo de la Industria Maquiladora de Exportacion en Mexico
    [Retrospective Analysis of the Maquiladora Export Industry in Mexico]
    ," MPRA Paper 14666, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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