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Investment decisions in mobile telecommunications networks applying real options

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  • Sergio Franklin

Abstract

This paper proposes a real options model for valuing the option to delay mobile telecommunications network investment decisions and a method for calculating the real options’ impact on mobile service costs. Ranges of option value multiples are calculated for the decisions to invest in a number of network elements, each representing a different part of the mobile network, subject to different demand and technological uncertainties. The value of the option to invest in each network element, net of future replacement options, is modeled as a function of the element’s total variable profit and the cost of investment in the element. The model and method are then applied to estimate the real options’ impact on mobile termination costs using real cost and volume data. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015

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  • Sergio Franklin, 2015. "Investment decisions in mobile telecommunications networks applying real options," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 226(1), pages 201-220, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:226:y:2015:i:1:p:201-220:10.1007/s10479-014-1672-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-014-1672-9
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexander, Carol & Chen, Xi & Ward, Charles, 2021. "Risk-adjusted valuation for real option decisions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 1046-1064.
    2. Carol Alexander & Xi Chen, 2021. "Model risk in real option valuation," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 1025-1056, April.
    3. Chun-Hung Chiu & Shui-Hung Hou & Xun Li & Wei Liu, 2017. "Real options approach for fashionable and perishable products using stock loan with regime switching," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 257(1), pages 357-377, October.
    4. Alcino Azevedo & Dean Paxson, 2018. "Rivalry and uncertainty in complementary investments with dynamic market sharing," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 271(2), pages 319-355, December.
    5. Trigeorgis, Lenos & Tsekrekos, Andrianos E., 2018. "Real Options in Operations Research: A Review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(1), pages 1-24.
    6. Yanzhao Li & Ju'e Guo & Yongwu Li & Xu Zhang, 2021. "Optimal exit decision of venture capital under time-inconsistent preferences," Papers 2103.11557, arXiv.org.
    7. Sendstad, Lars Hegnes & Chronopoulos, Michail, 2020. "Sequential investment in renewable energy technologies under policy uncertainty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).

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