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Flexible bivariate Poisson integer-valued GARCH model

Author

Listed:
  • Yan Cui

    (Jilin University)

  • Qi Li

    (Changchun Normal University)

  • Fukang Zhu

    (Jilin University)

Abstract

Integer-valued time series models have been widely used, especially integer-valued autoregressive models and integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (INGARCH) models. Recently, there has been a growing interest in multivariate count time series. However, existing models restrict the dependence structures imposed by the way they constructed. In this paper, we consider a class of flexible bivariate Poisson INGARCH(1,1) model whose dependence is established by a special multiplicative factor. Stationarity and ergodicity of the process are discussed. The maximization by parts algorithm and its modified version together with the alternative method by using R package Template Model Builder are employed to estimate the parameters of interest. The consistency and asymptotic normality for estimates are obtained, and the finite sample performance of estimators is given via simulations. A real data example is also provided to illustrate the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Yan Cui & Qi Li & Fukang Zhu, 2020. "Flexible bivariate Poisson integer-valued GARCH model," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 72(6), pages 1449-1477, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:aistmt:v:72:y:2020:i:6:d:10.1007_s10463-019-00732-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10463-019-00732-4
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    Cited by:

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    4. Debaly, Zinsou Max & Truquet, Lionel, 2021. "A note on the stability of multivariate non-linear time series with an application to time series of counts," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    5. Puppo, L. & Pedroni, N. & Maio, F. Di & Bersano, A. & Bertani, C. & Zio, E., 2021. "A Framework based on Finite Mixture Models and Adaptive Kriging for Characterizing Non-Smooth and Multimodal Failure Regions in a Nuclear Passive Safety System," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
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    7. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Chen, Chun-Shu & Hsiung, Mo-Hua, 2023. "Bayesian modeling of spatial integer-valued time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).

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