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The Reaction of Swiss Banks' Stock Prices to the Russian Crisis

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  • Bertrand Rime
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    Abstract

    We try to detect contagion effects within the Swiss banking sector by examining the impact of the Russian debt moratorium on Swiss banks' stock prices. In a first step, using event study methodology, we compute Swiss banks' stock returns for a number of events related to the Russian moratorium. In a second step, using regression analysis, we examine whether the stock returns of individual banks reflected their exposure to Russia (individual exposure hypothesis) or whether they exhibited systemic characteristics (contagion hypothesis). Our event study indicates that events related to the Russian moratorium - but not the moratorium itself - had a significant impact on Swiss banks' stocks. The results of the regression are compatible with both the contagion and the individual exposure hypotheses.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES) in its journal Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics.

    Volume (Year): 139 (2003)
    Issue (Month): I (March)
    Pages: 101-124

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    Handle: RePEc:ses:arsjes:2003-i-5

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    Related research

    Keywords: Information; contagion; event-study;

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    1. Larry D. Wall & David R. Peterson, 1989. "The effect of Continental Illinois' failure on the financial performance of other banks," Working Paper 89-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    2. Madura, Jeff & White, Ann Marie & McDaniel, Wm R., 1991. "Reaction of British bank share prices to Citicorp's announced $3 billion increase in loan-loss reserves," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 151-163, February.
    3. Slovin, Myron B. & Sushka, Marie E. & Polonchek, John A., 1999. "An analysis of contagion and competitive effects at commercial banks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 197-225, October.
    4. Aharony, Joseph & Swary, Itzhak, 1983. "Contagion Effects of Bank Failures: Evidence from Capital Markets," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 56(3), pages 305-22, July.
    5. Musumeci, James J & Sinkey, Joseph F, Jr, 1990. "The International Debt Crisis, Investor Contagion, and Bank Security Returns in 1987: The Brazilian Experience," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 22(2), pages 209-20, May.
    6. Ruback, Richard S., 1982. "The effect of discretionary price control decisions on equity values," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 83-105, March.
    7. John J. Binder, 1985. "Measuring the Effects of Regulation with Stock Price Data," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 16(2), pages 167-183, Summer.
    8. Bruner, Robert F & Simms, John M, Jr, 1987. "The International Debt Crisis and Bank Security Returns in 1982," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 19(1), pages 46-55, February.
    9. Osman Kilic & M. Hassan & David Tufte, 1998. "An empirical investigation of U.S. bank risk and the Mexican peso crisis," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 139-147, June.
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