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Seasonality of Tourism in Wales: A Comparative Analysis

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  • Nicole Koenig
  • Eberhard E. Bischoff

Abstract

This paper examines the seasonal pattern for different types of domestic tourism demand in the UK during 1994–2000. The focus is on Wales, a region with a particularly pronounced tourism seasonality. The characteristics of the Welsh seasonal pattern are identified and compared with other UK regions, notably Scotland. An overview of various different methods for quantifying these seasonal variations is presented. Various scalar measures are used to evaluate the inequality of the distribution of tourism trips within a year. The stability of seasonal patterns between the years is also examined and more complex methodologies, such as Seasonal Decomposition, are applied in order to assess in detail the differences in the seasonal behaviour of demand among the UK home nations. On the basis of the analysis, policy implications for tackling the seasonality problem are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicole Koenig & Eberhard E. Bischoff, 2003. "Seasonality of Tourism in Wales: A Comparative Analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 9(3), pages 229-254, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:9:y:2003:i:3:p:229-254
    DOI: 10.1177/135481660300900301
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Simon Kuznets, 1933. "Seasonal Variations in Industry and Trade," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number kuzn33-1, May.
    2. Grainger, J. & Judge, G., 1996. "Changing Patterns of Seasonality in Hotel and Tourism Demand: An Analysis of Portsmouth Monthly Arrivals Data," Papers 73, Portsmouth University - Department of Economics.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Amitrajeet A Batabyal & Hamid Beladi, 2010. "A stochastic model of the provision of guided tours to tourists," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(1), pages 577-586.
    2. Francisco Javier Sáez-Fernández & Ignacio Jiménez-Hernández & María del Sol Ostos-Rey, 2020. "Seasonality and Efficiency of the Hotel Industry in the Balearic Islands: Implications for Economic and Environmental Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Fernández-Morales, Antonio & Cisneros-Martínez, José David & McCabe, Scott, 2016. "Seasonal concentration of tourism demand: Decomposition analysis and marketing implications," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 172-190.
    4. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:30:y:2010:i:1:p:577-586 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. José María Martín Martín & José Antonio Rodriguez Martín & Karla Aída Zermeño Mejía & José Antonio Salinas Fernández, 2018. "Effects of Vacation Rental Websites on the Concentration of Tourists—Potential Environmental Impacts. An Application to the Balearic Islands in Spain," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-14, February.
    6. Batabyal, Amitrajeet A. & Yoo, Seung Jick, 2010. "A probabilistic analysis of guided tours for tourists during the slack season," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 482-485.
    7. Anna Serena Vergori, 2017. "Patterns of seasonality and tourism demand forecasting," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(5), pages 1011-1027, August.
    8. Batabyal, Amitrajeet A. & Beladi, Hamid, 2011. "An alternate approach to modeling the slack season provision of guided tours to tourists," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1047-1049.
    9. José María Martín Martín & Jose Antonio Salinas Fernández & José Antonio Rodríguez Martín & Juan De Dios Jiménez Aguilera, 2017. "Assessment of the Tourism’s Potential as a Sustainable Development Instrument in Terms of Annual Stability: Application to Spanish Rural Destinations in Process of Consolidation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-20, September.
    10. Turrión Prats, Judith & Duro Moreno, Juan Antonio, 2017. "The Seasonality of Demand in Spanish Tourist Municipalities: Analysis and Determinants," Working Papers 2072/306518, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
    11. Marianna Succurro & Federico Boffa, 2010. "Search Cost Reduction Increases Variation In Hotels Occupancy Rate: A Theoretical And Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 201020, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF.
    12. Rosselló, Jaume & Sansó, Andreu, 2017. "Yearly, monthly and weekly seasonality of tourism demand: A decomposition analysis," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 379-389.

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