IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v27y2021i4p867-873.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Testing the asymmetric effects of the economic policy uncertainty on the tourism demand in India

Author

Listed:
  • Chandan Sharma

    (195634Indian Institute of Management Lucknow, India)

Abstract

This study examines the effects of economic uncertainty on tourism demand in India for the period 2006:01 to 2018:04. This study has two major contributions. First, using the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag technique, the asymmetric effects are tested and second, it provides evidence for both long- and short-run effects. The estimated results have confirmed that economic uncertainty has asymmetric effects on tourism demand. Specifically, it is shown that increasing uncertainty has more penetrating negative effects than the positive effects caused by decreasing uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Chandan Sharma, 2021. "Testing the asymmetric effects of the economic policy uncertainty on the tourism demand in India," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 867-873, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:27:y:2021:i:4:p:867-873
    DOI: 10.1177/1354816619894080
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1354816619894080
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/1354816619894080?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eric Neumayer, 2004. "The Impact of Political Violence on Tourism," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(2), pages 259-281, April.
    2. Soren Jordan & Andrew Q. Philips, 2018. "Cointegration testing and dynamic simulations of autoregressive distributed lag modelsJournal: Stata Journal," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 18(4), pages 902-923, December.
    3. Oguz Ersan & Sagi Akron & Ender Demir, 2019. "The effect of European and global uncertainty on stock returns of travel and leisure companies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 51-66, February.
    4. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    5. Martins, Luís Filipe & Gan, Yi & Ferreira-Lopes, Alexandra, 2017. "An empirical analysis of the influence of macroeconomic determinants on World tourism demand," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 248-260.
    6. Dogru, Tarik & Sirakaya-Turk, Ercan & Crouch, Geoffrey I., 2017. "Remodeling international tourism demand: Old theory and new evidence," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 47-55.
    7. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    8. Wai Hong Kan Tsui & Faruk Balli & David Tat Wei Tan & Oscar Lau & Mudassar Hasan, 2018. "New Zealand business tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(4), pages 386-417, June.
    9. Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray, 2018. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect Tourism?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 15-17.
    10. N. Kulendran & Kenneth Wilson, 2000. "Is there a relationship between international trade and international travel?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 1001-1009.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Rui Tang, 2021. "The impact of integration policies on tourism industry convergence in the Yangtze River Delta: theoretical mechanism and empirical test," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 141-167, August.
    2. Chew Ging Lee & Shi-Min How, 2023. "The impacts of domestic and global economic policy uncertainties on the hotel room demand: Evidence from Singapore," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 1121-1129, June.
    3. James E Payne & Saban Nazlioglu & Andrea Mervar, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and international tourist arrivals: A disaggregated analysis of the Croatian Adriatic coast," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 986-1004, June.
    4. Umer Shahzad & Muhammad Ramzan & Muhammad Ibrahim Shah & Buhari DoÄŸan & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2022. "Analyzing the Nexus Between Geopolitical Risk, Policy Uncertainty, and Tourist Arrivals: Evidence From the United States," Evaluation Review, , vol. 46(3), pages 266-295, June.
    5. Haoke Ding & Yinghua Ren & Wanhai You, 2022. "Does uncertainty granger-causes visitor arrivals? evidence from the MF-VAR model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4193-4215, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cem Işık & Ercan Sirakaya-Turk & Serdar Ongan, 2020. "Testing the efficacy of the economic policy uncertainty index on tourism demand in USMCA: Theory and evidence," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1344-1357, December.
    2. Veli YILANCI & Sertaç HOPOĞLU & Hakan ERYÜZLÜ, 2023. "The impact of the economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks on tourism demand of Mexico," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(636), A), pages 147-164, Autumn.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Stavroula Yfanti & Menelaos Karanasos & Jiaying Wu, 2023. "Financial Integration and European Tourism Stocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 10269, CESifo.
    4. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Su Dinh Thanh & Bach Nguyen, 2022. "Economic uncertainty and tourism consumption," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 920-941, June.
    5. Chew Ging Lee & Shi-Min How, 2023. "The impacts of domestic and global economic policy uncertainties on the hotel room demand: Evidence from Singapore," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 1121-1129, June.
    6. Han Liu & Ying Liu & Yonglian Wang, 2021. "Exploring the influence of economic policy uncertainty on the relationship between tourism and economic growth with an MF-VAR model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1081-1100, August.
    7. Usman Khalid & Luke Emeka Okafor & Nusrate Aziz, 2020. "Armed conflict, military expenditure and international tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(4), pages 555-577, June.
    8. James E Payne & Nicholas Apergis, 2022. "The influence of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk on US citizens overseas air passenger travel by regional destination," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1333-1341, August.
    9. Rasool Dehghanzadeh Shahabad & Mehmet Balcilar, 2022. "Modelling the Dynamic Interaction between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Commodity Prices in India: The Dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-21, May.
    10. Danish & Recep Ulucak & Salah‐Ud‐Din Khan, 2020. "Relationship between energy intensity and CO2 emissions: Does economic policy matter?," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 1457-1464, September.
    11. Gizem Uzuner & Sudeshna Ghosh, 2021. "Do pandemics have an asymmetric effect on tourism in Italy?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(5), pages 1561-1579, October.
    12. Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Sleem, Mohamed A.E., 2023. "Short- and long-run determinants of the price behavior of US clean energy stocks: A dynamic ARDL simulations approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    13. Muhammad Asif Khan & Masood Ahmed & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2020. "US Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Nexus Revisited through Dynamic ARDL Simulation and Threshold Modelling," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-20, November.
    14. Oguz Ersan & Sagi Akron & Ender Demir, 2019. "The effect of European and global uncertainty on stock returns of travel and leisure companies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 51-66, February.
    15. Chaker Aloui & Hela Ben Hamida & Besma Hkiri, 2021. "Democratic transition, political risk, economic instability, and tourist inflows: The case of Tunisia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1157-1165, August.
    16. Georges Harb & Charbel Bassil, 2020. "Terrorism and inbound tourism: Does immigration have a moderating effect?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(3), pages 500-518, May.
    17. Conrado Diego García-Gómez & Ender Demir & Ming-Hsiang Chen & José María Díez-Esteban, 2022. "Understanding the effects of economic policy uncertainty on US tourism firms’ performance," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1174-1192, August.
    18. Khalid Khan & Chi-Wei Su & Yi-Dong Xiao & Haotian Zhu & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2021. "Trends in tourism under economic uncertainty," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 841-858, June.
    19. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Yiqi Wu & Bin Mo, 2022. "Impacts of geopolitical risks and economic policy uncertainty on Chinese tourism‐listed company stock," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 320-333, January.
    20. James E Payne & Saban Nazlioglu & Andrea Mervar, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and international tourist arrivals: A disaggregated analysis of the Croatian Adriatic coast," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 986-1004, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:27:y:2021:i:4:p:867-873. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.