IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v28y2022i5p1174-1192.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Understanding the effects of economic policy uncertainty on US tourism firms’ performance

Author

Listed:
  • Conrado Diego García-Gómez

    (University of Valladolid - Duques de Soria Campus, Spain)

  • Ender Demir

    (Istanbul Medeniyet University, Turkey)

  • Ming-Hsiang Chen

    (Nanjing Xiaozhuang University, China; Washington State University, USA; Guilin University of Technology, China)

  • José María Díez-Esteban

    (University of Burgos, Spain)

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the performance of US tourism firms using a sample of 296 publicly traded tourism companies from 2000 to 2018 with a sample of 3068 firm-year observations. Estimation results of panel regressio tests based on the system-generalized method of moments indicate that EPU has a negative impact on return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), and Tobin’s Q. Our results are consistent for different variable specifications. We also find that firm size and leverage play a moderating role in the relationship between EPU and firm performance. Panel quantile regression results show that the impact of EPU on US tourism firm performance is asymmetric. Specifically, low-performing (25% quantile of ROA and ROE) firms are less affected by EPU, and for the case of Tobin’s Q, EPU does not affect firms with a high growth opportunity (100% quantile of Tobin’s Q).

Suggested Citation

  • Conrado Diego García-Gómez & Ender Demir & Ming-Hsiang Chen & José María Díez-Esteban, 2022. "Understanding the effects of economic policy uncertainty on US tourism firms’ performance," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1174-1192, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:28:y:2022:i:5:p:1174-1192
    DOI: 10.1177/1354816620983148
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1354816620983148
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/1354816620983148?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Giorgio Giorgio, 2014. "Monetary policy challenges: how central banks changed their modus operandi," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 4(1), pages 25-43, June.
    2. Ender Demir & Oguz Ersan, 2018. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock returns of Turkish tourism companies," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(8), pages 847-855, May.
    3. Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George & Gavriilidis, Konstantinos & Santamaria, Daniel, 2016. "Sentiment, mood and outbound tourism demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 80-96.
    4. Chiang-Ming Chen & Kuo-Ting Hua & Jiin-Tian Chyou & Chih-Chung Tai, 2020. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on hotel room demand-evidence from Mainland Chinese and Japanese tourists in Taiwan," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(12), pages 1443-1448, June.
    5. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
    6. Ritu Singh & Debojyoti Das & R. K. Jana & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2019. "A wavelet analysis for exploring the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and tourist footfalls in the USA," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(15), pages 1789-1796, September.
    7. Felipe, Jesus & Estrada, Gemma, 2020. "What happened to the world's potential growth after the 2008–2009 global financial crisis?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    8. Oguz Ersan & Sagi Akron & Ender Demir, 2019. "The effect of European and global uncertainty on stock returns of travel and leisure companies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 51-66, February.
    9. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    10. Seyi Saint Akadiri & Andrew Adewale Alola & Gizem Uzuner, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and tourism: evidence from the heterogeneous panel," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(20), pages 2507-2514, October.
    11. Faisal Mahmood & Dongping Han & Nazakat Ali & Riaqa Mubeen & Umeair Shahzad, 2019. "Moderating Effects of Firm Size and Leverage on the Working Capital Finance–Profitability Relationship: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-14, April.
    12. Nihal Bayraktar, 2019. "Effectiveness of public investment on growth in sub-Saharan Africa," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(4), pages 421-457, December.
    13. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    14. Ying Yuan & Guosheng Yin, 2010. "Bayesian Quantile Regression for Longitudinal Studies with Nonignorable Missing Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 105-114, March.
    15. Faruk Balli & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2018. "A tale of two shocks: What do we learn from the impacts of economic policy uncertainties on tourism?," Post-Print hal-02044848, HAL.
    16. Chiang, Thomas C. & Li, Jiandong & Tan, Lin, 2010. "Empirical investigation of herding behavior in Chinese stock markets: Evidence from quantile regression analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 111-124.
    17. Michelle L. Barnes & Anthony W. Hughes, 2002. "A quantile regression analysis of the cross section of stock market returns," Working Papers 02-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    18. Umer Iqbal & Christopher Gan & Muhammad Nadeem, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and firm performance," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(10), pages 765-770, June.
    19. Elena Alexandra Nenu & Georgeta Vintilă & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2018. "The Impact of Capital Structure on Risk and Firm Performance: Empirical Evidence for the Bucharest Stock Exchange Listed Companies," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-29, April.
    20. Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray, 2018. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect Tourism?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 15-17.
    21. Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Stavros Degiannakis & Bruno Eeckels & George Filis, 2016. "Forecasting tourist arrivals using origin country macroeconomics," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(27), pages 2571-2585, June.
    22. Cem Işık & Ercan Sirakaya-Turk & Serdar Ongan, 2020. "Testing the efficacy of the economic policy uncertainty index on tourism demand in USMCA: Theory and evidence," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1344-1357, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Richard Arhinful & Mehrshad Radmehr, 2023. "The Impact of Financial Leverage on the Financial Performance of the Firms Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. James E Payne & Saban Nazlioglu & Andrea Mervar, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and international tourist arrivals: A disaggregated analysis of the Croatian Adriatic coast," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 986-1004, June.
    2. James E Payne & Nicholas Apergis, 2022. "The influence of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk on US citizens overseas air passenger travel by regional destination," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1333-1341, August.
    3. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Christophe Schinckus & Thanh Dinh Su, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and demand for international tourism: An empirical study," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1415-1430, December.
    4. Chew Ging Lee & Shi-Min How, 2023. "The impacts of domestic and global economic policy uncertainties on the hotel room demand: Evidence from Singapore," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 1121-1129, June.
    5. Hassan F Gholipour & Robin Nunkoo & Behzad Foroughi & Hassan Kalantari Daronkola, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, consumer confidence in major economies and outbound tourism to African countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 979-994, June.
    6. Saffet Akdağ & İlker Kılıç & Mert Gürlek & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2023. "Does economic policy uncertainty drive outbound tourism expenditures in 20 selected destinations?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 4327-4337, October.
    7. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Yiqi Wu & Bin Mo, 2022. "Impacts of geopolitical risks and economic policy uncertainty on Chinese tourism‐listed company stock," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 320-333, January.
    8. Han Liu & Ying Liu & Yonglian Wang, 2021. "Exploring the influence of economic policy uncertainty on the relationship between tourism and economic growth with an MF-VAR model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1081-1100, August.
    9. Gizem Uzuner & Sudeshna Ghosh, 2021. "Do pandemics have an asymmetric effect on tourism in Italy?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(5), pages 1561-1579, October.
    10. Dang, Van Dan & Nguyen, Hoang Chung, 2022. "Bank profitability under uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 119-134.
    11. Umer Shahzad & Muhammad Ramzan & Muhammad Ibrahim Shah & Buhari DoÄŸan & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2022. "Analyzing the Nexus Between Geopolitical Risk, Policy Uncertainty, and Tourist Arrivals: Evidence From the United States," Evaluation Review, , vol. 46(3), pages 266-295, June.
    12. Ivanka Nestoroska, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Firm Performance in the Czech Republic," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 10(1), pages 10-16.
    13. Khalid Khan & Chi-Wei Su & Yi-Dong Xiao & Haotian Zhu & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2021. "Trends in tourism under economic uncertainty," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 841-858, June.
    14. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Stavroula Yfanti & Menelaos Karanasos & Jiaying Wu, 2023. "Financial Integration and European Tourism Stocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 10269, CESifo.
    15. Nguyen, Canh Phuc, 2022. "Uncertainty and gender inequality: A global investigation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 31-47.
    16. Wang, Hao & Han, Yonghui & Fidrmuc, Jan & Wei, Dongming, 2021. "Confucius Institute, Belt and Road Initiative, and Internationalization," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 237-256.
    17. Jamil, Abd Rahim Md. & Law, Siong Hook & Mohamad Khair-Afham, M.S. & Trinugroho, Irwan, 2023. "Financial inclusion and economic uncertainty in developing countries: The role of digitalisation," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 786-806.
    18. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Su Dinh Thanh & Bach Nguyen, 2022. "Economic uncertainty and tourism consumption," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 920-941, June.
    19. Nicholas Apergis & Konstantinos Gavriilidis & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Does climate policy uncertainty affect tourism demand? Evidence from time-varying causality tests," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(6), pages 1484-1498, September.
    20. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2023. "Duration of membership in the world trade organization and investment-oriented remittances inflows," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 258-277.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:28:y:2022:i:5:p:1174-1192. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.