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Direction and Uncertainty in a Model of Issue Voting

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  • Stuart Elaine Macdonald
  • George Rabinowitz

Abstract

We extend the directional theory of issue voting from a strictly deterministic model to a model which incorporates voter uncertainty. In the model, each voter has a probability of preferring a given direction of policy with regard to an issue and each party has a probability of pursuing a given policy direction if elected. We examine the implications of the theory for representation and develop the link between directional and proximity theory as models of political change and realignment.

Suggested Citation

  • Stuart Elaine Macdonald & George Rabinowitz, 1993. "Direction and Uncertainty in a Model of Issue Voting," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 5(1), pages 61-87, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jothpo:v:5:y:1993:i:1:p:61-87
    DOI: 10.1177/0951692893005001003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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