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The Evaluation of Norwegian Regional Policy: Parameter Variation in Regional Shift Models

Author

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  • R S Bivand

    (Nordland Distriktshøgskole, Boks 6003, N-8016 Mørkved, Norway)

Abstract

Starting from a conventional shift-share analysis of Norwegian industrial employment series for 1951-1982, the author attempts to establish the existence of a breakpoint in the shift series for counties subject to regional policy measures, by using recursive regression methods. Such a change having been found in the plots of trend and quadratic trend parameters, the counterfactual method is used to estimate the effects of regional policy, 1970–1982, for four counties.

Suggested Citation

  • R S Bivand, 1986. "The Evaluation of Norwegian Regional Policy: Parameter Variation in Regional Shift Models," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 4(1), pages 71-90, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirc:v:4:y:1986:i:1:p:71-90
    DOI: 10.1068/c040071
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. M. M. Fischer & H. Folmer, 1982. "Measurement Of The Effects Of Regional Policy By Means Of Time Series Analysis," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(1), pages 133-150, January.
    2. Beach, Charles M & MacKinnon, James G, 1978. "A Maximum Likelihood Procedure for Regression with Autocorrelated Errors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 51-58, January.
    3. Martin, R L, 1982. "Job Loss and the Regional Incidence of Redundancies in the Current Recession," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 6(4), pages 375-395, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Roger Bivand & Jon M. Steineke, 1998. "Dynamic externalities and regional manufacturing development: An exploration of the Polish experience before and after 1989," ERSA conference papers ersa98p271, European Regional Science Association.
    2. Portnov, B. A. & Etzion, Y., 2000. "Investigating the effects of public policy on the interregional patterns of population growth: the case of Israel," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 239-269, December.

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