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Local GMM Estimation of Time Series Models with Conditional Moment Restrictions

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Author Info
Nikolay Gospodinov () (Concordia University)
Taisuke Otsu () (Yale University)

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Abstract

This paper investigates statistical properties of the local GMM (LGMM) estimator for some time series models defined by conditional moment restrictions. First, we consider Markov processes with possible conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form and establish the consistency, asymptotic normality, and semi-parametric efficiency of the estimator. Second, inspired by simulation results showing that the LGMM estimator has a significantly smaller bias than the OLS estimator, we undertake a higher-order asymptotic expansion and analyze the bias properties of the LGMM estimator. The structure of the asymptotic expansion of the LGMM estimator reveals an interesting contrast with the OLS estimator that helps to explain the bias reduction in the LGMM estimator. The practical importance of these findings is evaluated in terms of a bond and option pricing exercise based on a diffusion model for spot interest rate.

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File URL: http://alcor.concordia.ca/~gospodin/research/cel_ar.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Concordia University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 08010.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:crd:wpaper:08010

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Related research
Keywords: Conditional moment restrictions; Local GMM; Higher-order expansion; Conditional heteroskedasticity;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-16.


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