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Opinion Polarization and Inter-Party Competition on Europe

Author

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  • Ian Down

    (University of Tennessee, Knoxville, USA, idown@utk.edu)

  • Carole J. Wilson

    (Southern Methodist University, USA, cjwilson@smu.edu)

Abstract

Rising Euroscepticism, increasing levels of public disagreement and growing divisions on Europe both within and between political parties are all indicators of the emergent potential for contestation on Europe. This article seeks to identify whether two important elements of contestation on Europe, namely inter-party competition and divisions in public opinion, are causally related, the direction of any such relationship and in which countries the relationship might exist. In doing so, we apply a recently developed method for analysing cross-sectional time-series data: panel Granger testing. We do, indeed, find a causal relationship between public opinion and inter-party competition, but only in some countries, not all, and we discuss the implications for political competition on Europe.

Suggested Citation

  • Ian Down & Carole J. Wilson, 2010. "Opinion Polarization and Inter-Party Competition on Europe," European Union Politics, , vol. 11(1), pages 61-87, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:eeupol:v:11:y:2010:i:1:p:61-87
    DOI: 10.1177/1465116509353457
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Beck, Nathaniel & Katz, Jonathan N., 1995. "What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 89(3), pages 634-647, September.
    2. Hood, M. V. & Kidd, Quentin & Morris, Irwin L., 2008. "Two Sides of the Same Coin? Employing Granger Causality Tests in a Time Series Cross-Section Framework," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(3), pages 324-344, July.
    3. Page, Benjamin I. & Brody, Richard A., 1972. "Policy Voting and the Electoral Process: The Vietnam War Issue," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 66(3), pages 979-995, September.
    4. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Boris Sokolov, 2015. "ttitudinal Polarization Measurement Through (Ordered) Latent Class Analysis," HSE Working papers WP BRP 66/SOC/2015, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

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