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A road map for explorative scenario creation on Belgian rail freight transport development

Author

Listed:
  • Frank Troch
  • Thierry Vanelslander
  • Christa Sys
  • Florent Laroche

    (University of Antwerp, Belgium)

  • Angel Merchan
  • Martine Mostert

    (University of Liège, Belgium)

  • Vidar Stevens

    (University of Antwerp, Belgium)

  • Christine Tawfik
  • Sandra Belboom
  • Angélique Léonard
  • Sabine Limbourg

    (University of Liège, Belgium)

  • Koen Verhoest

    (University of Antwerp, Belgium)

Abstract

The starting point of this article is the weak usage of rail freight in Belgium and Europe, both as a sustainable mode of land transportation in itself as well as a part of the intermodal chain. The results are obtained by transversal research on rail freight transport in Belgium, taking into account the European context. This interdisciplinary research develops a road map for the creation of three integrated scenarios: a best case, medium case and worst case scenario for rail freight development, based on a detailed SWOT (strength, weakness, opportunities, threats) analysis. It includes the most probable future developments for rail freight transport and hinterland connections. These developments are obtained from literature review and discussions with a heterogeneous panel of experts in the fields of (i) optimal corridor and hub development, (ii) macroeconomic impact, (iii) sustainability, (iv) effective market regulation and (v) governance and organization for a well-functioning intermodality. The Delphi approach is used in combination with a survey analysis. Frequency tables and the H-index allow defining a ranking and selection of SWOT elements. The obtained scenarios allow future research to quantify and measure the impact of future developments and decisions towards the Belgian rail freight market.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank Troch & Thierry Vanelslander & Christa Sys & Florent Laroche & Angel Merchan & Martine Mostert & Vidar Stevens & Christine Tawfik & Sandra Belboom & Angélique Léonard & Sabine Limbourg & Koen , 2017. "A road map for explorative scenario creation on Belgian rail freight transport development," Competition and Regulation in Network Industries, , vol. 18(1-2), pages 3-21, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:crnind:v:18:y:2017:i:1-2:p:3-21
    DOI: 10.1177/1783591717734792
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mitusch, Kay & Liedtke, Gernot & Guihery, Laurent & Bälz, David, 2014. "The structure of freight flows in Europe and its implications for EU railway freight policy," Working Paper Series in Economics 61, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    2. Bontekoning, Y. M. & Macharis, C. & Trip, J. J., 2004. "Is a new applied transportation research field emerging?--A review of intermodal rail-truck freight transport literature," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 1-34, January.
    3. Janic, Milan, 2008. "An assessment of the performance of the European long intermodal freight trains (LIFTS)," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 42(10), pages 1326-1339, December.
    4. Kay Mitusch & Gernot Liedtke & Laurent Guihéry & David Bälz, 2014. "The structure of freight flows in Europe and its implications for EU railway freight policy," Post-Print halshs-02127633, HAL.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Aoun, Joelle & Quaglietta, Egidio & Goverde, Rob M.P., 2023. "Roadmap development for the deployment of virtual coupling in railway signalling," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).

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