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The Feldstein-Horioka Hypothesis: Co-Integration and Causality Results for Selected Countries

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  • Santiago Grullon

Abstract

This study investigates the validity of the Feldstein-Horioka hypothesis, which suggests that with perfect world capital mobility there should be no correlation between domestic savings and domestic investment, for the Bahamas, Belize, Bolivia, Nicaragua, and Panama. Results from ‘bounds’ test for co-integration for all five countries confirm the presence of a long-run association between domestic savings rates and domestic investment rates, and thus failing to support the Feldstein-Horioka theory. However, Pairwise Granger tests for the first four countries do not show any causal linkages between domestic savings and domestic investment and in the case of Panama the evidence shows bi-directional causality between the two variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Santiago Grullon, 2016. "The Feldstein-Horioka Hypothesis: Co-Integration and Causality Results for Selected Countries," Quarterly Journal of Business Studies, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 2(3), pages 134-142.
    • Handle: RePEc:rss:jnljbs:v2i3p2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Solarin Sakiru Adebola & Jauhari Dahalan, 2012. "Capital Mobility: An Application of Savings-Investment Link for Tunisia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-11.
    2. Feldstein, Martin & Horioka, Charles, 1980. "Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 90(358), pages 314-329, June.
    3. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    4. Helmi Hamdi & Rashid Sbia, 2013. "Are Investment and Savings Cointegrated? Evidence from Middle East and North African Countries," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(4), pages 103-113.
    5. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    6. Atul DAR & Sal AMIRKHALKHALI, 2011. "On the Impact of Openness and Regulatory Quality on Saving- Investment Dynamics in Emerging Economies," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 11(2).
    7. Saten Kumar & Don J. Webber & Scott Fargher, 2012. "Testing the validity of the Feldstein--Horioka puzzle for Australia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(5), pages 599-605, February.
    8. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Phiri, Andrew, 2019. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle and the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from South Africa using Asymmetric Cointegration Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 72(2), pages 139-170.

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