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Savings and investments in the OECD: a panel cointegration study with a new bootstrap test

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  • Francesca Iorio
  • Stefano Fachin

Abstract

In this paper we test for the existence of a stable long-run savings–investments relationship in 18 OECD economies over the period 1970–2007. Although individual modelling provides only very weak support to the hypothesis of a link between savings and investments, this cannot be ruled out as individual time series tests may have low power. We thus construct a new bootstrap test for panel cointegration robust to short- and long-run dependence across units. This test provides evidence of a long-run savings–investments relationship in most of the countries, with USA the most notable exception. However, the elasticities generally smaller than 1 suggest that market imperfections mostly cause only partial home biases. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Francesca Iorio & Stefano Fachin, 2014. "Savings and investments in the OECD: a panel cointegration study with a new bootstrap test," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1271-1300, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:1271-1300
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0722-5
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    4. Hassan B. Ghassan & Zakaria Boulanouar & Kabir M. Hassan, 2021. "Revisiting Banking Stability Using a New Panel Cointegration Test," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-8, April.
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    7. Di Iorio, Francesca & Fachin, Stefano, 2018. "The Prebish–Singer hypothesis in the post-colonial era: Evidence from panel cointegration," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 86-89.
    8. Iorio, Francesca Di & Fachin, Stefano, 2014. "Savings and investments in the OECD, 1970–2007: A test of panel cointegration with regime changes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 59-76.
    9. Rajarshi Mitra, 2015. "Saving-Investment Correlation and Capital Flows: The Philippines 1960-2014," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(4), pages 2853-2861.
    10. R. Golinelli & I. Mammi & A. Musolesi, 2018. "Parameter heterogeneity, persistence and cross-sectional dependence: new insights on fiscal policy reaction functions for the Euro area," Working Papers wp1120, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    11. Jaunky, Vishal Chandr, 2013. "A cointegration and causality analysis of copper consumption and economic growth in rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 628-639.
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    14. Andriansyah, Andriansyah & Messinis, George, 2019. "Stock Prices, Exchange Rates and Portfolio Equity Flows: A Toda-Yamamoto Panel Causality Test," MPRA Paper 97992, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Savings; Investments; Feldstein–Horioka puzzle ; Panel cointegration; Stationary Bootstrap; C23; C15; E2;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment

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