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Quelques développements récents des méthodes macroéconométriques

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  • Monfort, Alain

    (Département de la Recherche de l’INSEE)

Abstract

During the last ten or fifteen years, the macroeconometric methods have been deeply transformed. These developments have been made in various directions and the situation is now much more complicated than it was in the middle of the seventies. The aim of this article is to propose a brief description of this situation for people who are not specialists of econometric methodology. Among the various possible topics we found five of them particularly important: the VAR models, the nonstationary models, the ARCH models, the GMM models and the disequilibrium models. Au cours des dix ou quinze dernières années, les méthodes macroéconomiques ont profondément évolué. Ces développements se sont effectués dans des directions très variées, si bien qu’à l’heure actuelle le paysage est beaucoup plus complexe qu’il ne l’était au milieu des années 70. Le but de cet article est de fournir aux non-spécialistes de l’économétrie une description rapide de ce nouveau paysage. De façon à obtenir une image aussi fidèle que possible il nous a semblé qu’il fallait aborder cinq types de modèles : les modèles VAR, les modèles non stationnaires, les modèles ARCH, les modèles de moments généralisés et les modèles de déséquilibre.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Société Canadienne de Science Economique in its journal L'Actualité économique.

Volume (Year): 68 (1992)
Issue (Month): 1 (mars et juin)
Pages: 305-324

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Handle: RePEc:ris:actuec:v:68:y:1992:i:1:p:305-324

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  1. Gourieroux Christian & Monfort Alain & Trognon A, 1981. "Pseudo maximum likelihood methods : theory," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 8129, CEPREMAP.
  2. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
  3. Barro, Robert J & Grossman, Herschel I, 1971. "A General Disequilibrium Model of Income and Employment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 82-93, March.
  4. repec:fth:inseep:8812 is not listed on IDEAS
  5. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
  6. Gourieroux, C. & Monfort, A. & Trognon, A., 1985. "A General Approach to Serial Correlation," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(03), pages 315-340, December.
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  8. Tim Bollerslev, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
  9. Benassy Jean-pascal, 1974. "Neokeynesian disequilibrium theory in a monetary economy," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 7402, CEPREMAP.
  10. Granger, C. W. J., 1981. "Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 121-130, May.
  11. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Quah, Danny, 1989. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 655-73, September.
  12. Weiss, Andrew A., 1986. "Asymptotic Theory for ARCH Models: Estimation and Testing," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 2(01), pages 107-131, April.
  13. Phillips, P.C.B., 1986. "Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 311-340, December.
  14. Engle, R.F. & Yoo, B.S., 1989. "Cointegrated Economic Time Series: A Survey With New Results," Papers 8-89-13, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics.
  15. Dreze, Jacques H, 1975. "Existence of an Exchange Equilibrium under Price Rigidities," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 16(2), pages 301-20, June.
  16. Laroque, Guy & Salanie, Bernard, 1989. "Estimation of Multi-market Fix-Price Models: An Application of Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(4), pages 831-60, July.
  17. Sims, Christopher A & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1990. "Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 113-44, January.
  18. Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982. "Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-54, July.
  19. Salanie, Bernard, 1991. "Wage and Price Adjustment in a Multimarket Disequilibrium Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(1), pages 1-15, Jan.-Marc.
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