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Methodology as ideology: mathematical modeling of trench warfare

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  • Andrew Gelman

Abstract

The Evolution of Cooperation, by Axelrod (1984), is a highly influential study that identifies the benefits of cooperative strategies in the iterated prisoner’s dilemma. We argue that the most extensive historical analysis in the book, a study of cooperative behavior in First World War trenches, is in error. Contrary to Axelrod’s claims, there soldiers in the Western Front were not generally in a prisoner’s dilemma (iterated or otherwise), and their cooperative behavior can be explained much more parsimoniously as immediately reducing their risks. We discuss the political implications of this misapplication of game theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Gelman, 2008. "Methodology as ideology: mathematical modeling of trench warfare," QA - Rivista dell'Associazione Rossi-Doria, Associazione Rossi Doria, issue 2, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:rar:journl:0078
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Snidal, Duncan, 1985. "Coordination versus Prisoners' Dilemma: Implications for International Cooperation and Regimes," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 79(4), pages 923-942, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cooperation; First World War; Game Theory; Prisoner’s Dilemma;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D00 - Microeconomics - - General - - - General

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