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Modelling of Unemployment Duration in the Czech Republic

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  • Adam Čabla
  • Ivana Malá

Abstract

The paper examines the duration of unemployment in the Czech Republic in the three selected years (2008, 2010 and 2014). It is based on the Czech Statistical Office data collected from the Labour Force Sample Survey. Lognormal probability distribution (unimodal positively skewed heavy-tailed distribution) is used in the Accelerated Failure Time regression model including the following factor explanatory variables: years (three levels, 2008, 2010, 2014), gender (two levels), education (four levels), five-year age groups (nine levels) and municipality size (five levels). Apart from this parametric model, Turnbull's nonparametric estimator of the survival function is evaluated for subsamples defined by the year, gender and education. The effects of education and gender - a strong positive one of the former and less significant one of the latter, respectively - are quantified and assessed.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Čabla & Ivana Malá, 2017. "Modelling of Unemployment Duration in the Czech Republic," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(4), pages 438-449.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2017:y:2017:i:4:id:620:p:438-449
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.620
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fay, Michael P. & Shaw, Pamela A., 2010. "Exact and Asymptotic Weighted Logrank Tests for Interval Censored Data: The interval R Package," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 36(i02).
    2. Alan B. Krueger & Andreas Mueller, 2011. "Job Search and Job Finding in a Period of Mass Unemployment: Evidence from High-Frequency Longitudinal Data," Working Papers 1295, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    3. repec:pri:cepsud:215krueger is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Alan B. Krueger & Andreas Mueller, 2011. "Job Search, Emotional Well-Being and Job Finding in a Period of Mass Unemployment: Evidence from High-Frequency Longitudinal Data," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 42(1 (Spring), pages 1-81.
    5. repec:pri:indrel:dsp014j03cz656 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Krueger, Alan B. & Mueller, Andreas I., 2011. "Job Search and Job Finding in a Period of Mass Unemployment: Evidence from High-Frequency Longitudinal Data," IZA Discussion Papers 5450, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ivana Malá & Adam Èabla, 2022. "Modelling of the Unemployment Duration in the Czech Republic Based on Aggregated Complete and Individual Censored Data," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 70(2), pages 171-187, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    unemployment duration; AFT model; Turnbull's estimator; interval censored data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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