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The Neural Basis of Risky Choice with Affective Outcomes

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  • Renata S Suter
  • Thorsten Pachur
  • Ralph Hertwig
  • Tor Endestad
  • Guido Biele

Abstract

Both normative and many descriptive theories of decision making under risk are based on the notion that outcomes are weighted by their probability, with subsequent maximization of the (subjective) expected outcome. Numerous investigations from psychology, economics, and neuroscience have produced evidence consistent with this notion. However, this research has typically investigated choices involving relatively affect-poor, monetary outcomes. We compared choice in relatively affect-poor, monetary lottery problems with choice in relatively affect-rich medical decision problems. Computational modeling of behavioral data and model-based neuroimaging analyses provide converging evidence for substantial differences in the respective decision mechanisms. Relative to affect-poor choices, affect-rich choices yielded a more strongly curved probability weighting function of cumulative prospect theory, thus signaling that the psychological impact of probabilities is strongly diminished for affect-rich outcomes. Examining task-dependent brain activation, we identified a region-by-condition interaction indicating qualitative differences of activation between affect-rich and affect-poor choices. Moreover, brain activation in regions that were more active during affect-poor choices (e.g., the supramarginal gyrus) correlated with individual trial-by-trial decision weights, indicating that these regions reflect processing of probabilities. Formal reverse inference Neurosynth meta-analyses suggested that whereas affect-poor choices seem to be based on brain mechanisms for calculative processes, affect-rich choices are driven by the representation of outcomes’ emotional value and autobiographical memories associated with them. These results provide evidence that the traditional notion of expectation maximization may not apply in the context of outcomes laden with affective responses, and that understanding the brain mechanisms of decision making requires the domain of the decision to be taken into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Renata S Suter & Thorsten Pachur & Ralph Hertwig & Tor Endestad & Guido Biele, 2015. "The Neural Basis of Risky Choice with Affective Outcomes," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(4), pages 1-22, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0122475
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0122475
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Barrafrem, Kinga & Västfjäll, Daniel & Tinghög, Gustav, 2021. "The arithmetic of outcome editing in financial and social domains," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    2. repec:jdm:journl:v:17:y:2022:i:5:p:1094-1122 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Stefan A. Lipman & Arthur E. Attema, 2019. "Rabin's paradox for health outcomes," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(8), pages 1064-1071, August.
    4. Erin M. Ellis & William M.P. Klein & Edward Orehek & Rebecca A. Ferrer, 2018. "Effects of Emotion on Medical Decisions Involving Tradeoffs," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 38(8), pages 1027-1039, November.
    5. Liana Fraenkel & Marilyn Stolar & Jonathan R. Bates & Richard L. Street Jr & Harjinder Chowdhary & Sarah Swift & Ellen Peters, 2018. "Variability in Affect and Willingness to Take Medication," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 38(1), pages 34-43, January.
    6. Arthur E. Attema & Han Bleichrodt & Olivier l’Haridon & Stefan A. Lipman, 2020. "A comparison of individual and collective decision making for standard gamble and time trade-off," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 21(3), pages 465-473, April.
    7. Tobias Thomas Prietzel, 2020. "The effect of emotion on risky decision making in the context of prospect theory: a comprehensive literature review," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 70(3), pages 313-353, August.
    8. repec:cup:judgdm:v:17:y:2022:i:5:p:1094-1122 is not listed on IDEAS

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