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Exploring the link between Public Investment and Long Run Economic Growth — A Case of a Developing Country

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  • Rawat, Amna Sohail
  • Khan, Lubna

Abstract

This paper attempts to investigate the effect of public investment on the economic growth of Pakistan using an annual data series from the period of 1973-2015. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model is used to estimate the relationship between variables. Moreover, causality analysis and variance decomposition analysis have also been applied. The result of ARDL bound testing confirms the long run association between public investment and economic growth in Pakistan. In addition, the long run and short run estimations reveal that a large amount of public investment reduces the economic growth. However, the larger share of private investment enhances the economic growth. Conversely, an increase in the labor force of Pakistan will decrease the economic growth in the long run. The study evidence presents important policy implications for the government and policy makers to increase economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Rawat, Amna Sohail & Khan, Lubna, 2020. "Exploring the link between Public Investment and Long Run Economic Growth — A Case of a Developing Country," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 65(2), pages 151-167.
    • Handle: RePEc:pfq:journl:v:65:y:2020:i:2:p:151-167
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.35551/PFQ_2020_2_1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Public investment; economic growth; private investment; labor force; ARDL;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning

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