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Hedge fund survival lifetimes

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  • G N Gregoriou

    (University of Quebec at Montreal)

Abstract

This paper examines the survival analysis of hedge funds using various survival models. Survival analysis has been used in studies of the lifetimes of bonds, labour strikes, marketing preferences and many other areas. By examining several predictor variables, the analysis demonstrates that some variables can be used to predict hedge fund mortality. We use the Product-Limit estimator, Life table method, Accelerated Failure Time Model and the Cox proportional hazards models to investigate the survival times of hedge funds over a 12-year period. The median (half-life) survival time of all hedge funds is exactly 5.50 years. It is found, however, that millions managed, redemption period, performance fee, leverage, monthly returns and minimum purchase have an impact on the mortality of hedge funds. It is also found that certain hedge fund classifications experience higher survival times than others.

Suggested Citation

  • G N Gregoriou, 2002. "Hedge fund survival lifetimes," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 3(3), pages 237-252, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:assmgt:v:3:y:2002:i:3:d:10.1057_palgrave.jam.2240078
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jam.2240078
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    Cited by:

    1. Efstathios Panayi & Gareth Peters, 2014. "Survival Models for the Duration of Bid-Ask Spread Deviations," Papers 1406.5487, arXiv.org.
    2. Greg N. Gregoriou & Maher Kooli, 2017. "The profiles of merged hedge funds, funds of hedge funds, and CTA," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(1), pages 49-63, January.
    3. Andrew Ang & Nicolas P.B. Bollen, 2010. "Locked Up by a Lockup: Valuing Liquidity as a Real Option," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 39(3), pages 1069-1096, September.
    4. Di Tommaso, Caterina & Piluso, Fabio, 2018. "The failure of hedge funds: An analysis of the impact of different risk classes," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 121-133.
    5. Nicholas Chan & Mila Getmansky & Shane M. Haas & Andrew W. Lo, 2007. "Systemic Risk and Hedge Funds," NBER Chapters, in: The Risks of Financial Institutions, pages 235-330, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. R. Gibson Brandon & S. Gyger, 2011. "Optimal hedge fund portfolios under liquidation risk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 53-67.
    7. Dan Bernhardt & Ed Nosal, 2013. "Gambling for Dollars: Strategic Hedge Fund Manager Investment," Working Paper Series WP-2013-23, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    8. Haghani, Shermineh, 2014. "Modeling hedge fund lifetimes: A dependent competing risks framework with latent exit types," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 291-320.
    9. Newton, David & Platanakis, Emmanouil & Stafylas, Dimitrios & Sutcliffe, Charles & Ye, Xiaoxia, 2021. "Hedge fund strategies, performance &diversification: A portfolio theory & stochastic discount factor approach," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(5).
    10. Alex Grecu & Burton G. Malkiel & Atanu Saha, 2006. "Why Do Hedge Funds Stop Reporting Their Performance?," Working Papers 78, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    11. Benjamin R Auer, 2016. "Pure return persistence, Hurst exponents and hedge fund selection – A practical note," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 17(5), pages 319-330, September.
    12. Alex Grecu & Burton G. Malkiel & Atanu Saha, 2006. "Why Do Hedge Funds Stop Reporting Their Performance?," Working Papers 78, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    13. repec:pri:cepsud:124malkiel is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Darolles, Serge & Florens, Jean-Pierre & Simon, Guillaume, 2010. "Nonparametric Analysis of Hedge Funds Lifetimes," IDEI Working Papers 620, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    15. Faff, Robert W. & Parwada, Jerry T. & Tan, Eric K.M., 2019. "Did connected hedge funds benefit from bank bailouts during the financial crisis?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
    16. Ribeiro, Mafalda & Santos, C. Machado, 2009. "Hedge funds strategies -are they consistent?," Working Papers 10/2009, Universidade Portucalense, Centro de Investigação em Gestão e Economia (CIGE).
    17. Naohiko Baba & Hiromichi Goko, 2006. "Survival Analysis of Hedge Funds," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 06-E-5, Bank of Japan.
    18. Ma, T. & Fraser-Mackenzie, P.A.F. & Sung, M. & Kansara, A.P. & Johnson, J.E.V., 2022. "Are the least successful traders those most likely to exit the market? A survival analysis contribution to the efficient market debate," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 299(1), pages 330-345.
    19. Auer, Benjamin R., 2014. "Should hedge funds be cautious reporting high returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 195-201.
    20. Auer, Benjamin R. & Schuhmacher, Frank, 2013. "Robust evidence on the similarity of Sharpe ratio and drawdown-based hedge fund performance rankings," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 153-165.
    21. Martin Eling, 2009. "Does Hedge Fund Performance Persist? Overview and New Empirical Evidence," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 15(2), pages 362-401, March.
    22. Naohiko Baba & Hiromichi Goko, 2009. "Hedge Fund Survival: Non‐Normal Returns, Capital Outflows, And Liquidity," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 32(1), pages 71-93, March.
    23. Lee, Hee Soo & Kim, Tae Yoon, 2014. "Dynamic prediction of hedge fund survival in crisis-prone financial markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 57-67.
    24. Kolokolova, Olga, 2011. "Strategic behavior within families of hedge funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 1645-1662, July.
    25. Auer, Benjamin R. & Schuhmacher, Frank, 2013. "Performance hypothesis testing with the Sharpe ratio: The case of hedge funds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 196-208.

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