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Global Supply Chains and Trade Policy Responses to the 2008 Crisis

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  • Kishore Gawande
  • Bernard Hoekman
  • Yue Cui

Abstract

The collapse in trade and the contraction of output that occurred during 2008–9 was comparable to, and in many countries more severe than, the Great Depression of the 1930s. However, it did not give rise to the rampant protectionism that followed the Great Crash. The idea that the rise in the fragmentation of production across global value chains – vertical specialization – may be a deterrent against protectionism is underappreciated in the literature. Institutions also played a role in limiting the extent of protectionist responses. World Trade Organization discipline raises the cost of using trade policies for member countries and has proved to be a stable foundation for the open multilateral trading system that has been built over the past 50 years. Using trade and protection data for seven large emerging market countries that have a history of active use of trade policy, the influence of these and other factors on trade policy responses to the 2008 crisis are empirically examined. An instrumental variables strategy is used to identify their impact. Participation in global value chains is found to be a powerful economic factor determining trade policy responses.

Suggested Citation

  • Kishore Gawande & Bernard Hoekman & Yue Cui, 2015. "Global Supply Chains and Trade Policy Responses to the 2008 Crisis," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 29(1), pages 102-128.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:wbecrv:v:29:y:2015:i:1:p:102-128.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/wber/lht040
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    Cited by:

    1. Jean Balié & Davide Del Prete & Emiliano Magrini & Pierluigi Montalbano & Silvia Nenci, 2017. "Agriculture and Food Global Value Chains in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does bilateral trade policy impact on backward and forward participation?," Working Papers 4/17, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
    2. Wenzheng Liu & Yadong Ning & Shukuan Bai & Boya Zhang, 2023. "The Impact of Trade on Carbon Emissions and Employment from the Perspective of Global Value Chains—A Case Study of Chinese–Japanese–Korean Trade," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-23, March.
    3. Peter A.G. Bergeijk & Steven Brakman & Charles Marrewijk, 2017. "Heterogeneous economic resilience and the great recession's world trade collapse," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 96(1), pages 3-12, March.
    4. Jeheung Ryu & Randall W. Stone, 2018. "Plaintiffs by proxy: A firm-level approach to WTO dispute resolution," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 273-308, June.
    5. van Bergeijk, P.A.G., 2015. "The heterogeneity of world trade collapses," ISS Working Papers - General Series 606, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    6. Giulia Meloni & Johan Swinnen, 2022. "Globalization and political economy of food policies: Insights from planting restrictions in colonial wine markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(2), pages 766-787, June.
    7. Johan Swinnen & Alessandro Olper & Senne Vandevelde, 2021. "From unfair prices to unfair trading practices: Political economy, value chains and 21st century agri‐food policy," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(5), pages 771-788, September.
    8. Luca Salvatici & Silvia Nenci, 2017. "New features, forgotten costs and counterfactual gains of the international trading system," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 44(4), pages 592-633.
    9. Simon J. Evenett & Bernard Hoekman & Nadia Rocha and Michele Ruta, 2021. "The Covid-19 Vaccine Production Club: Will Value Chains Temper Nationalism?," RSCAS Working Papers 2021/36, European University Institute.
    10. Bown, Chad & Crowley, Meredith A., 2016. "The Empirical Landscape of Trade Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 11216, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Bernard Hoekman, 2016. "Subsidies, Spillovers and WTO Rules in a Value-chain World," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 7(3), pages 351-359, September.
    12. J. Bradford Jensen & Dennis P. Quinn & Stephen Weymouth, 2014. "The Influences Of Foreign Direct Investments, Intrafirm Trading, And Currency Undervaluation On U.S. Firm Trade Disputes," Working Papers 14-04, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    13. Charalampos Efstathopoulos, 2016. "Reformist Multipolarity and Global Trade Governance in an Era of Systemic Power Redistribution," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 8(1), pages 3-21, January.
    14. Olper, Alessandro, 2017. "The political economy of trade-related regulatory policy: environment and global value chain," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 5(3), February.
    15. van Bergeijk, P.A.G., 2017. "One is not enough! An economic history perspective on world trade collapses and deglobalization," ISS Working Papers - General Series 98695, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    16. Peter A.G. van Bergeijk, 2019. "Deglobalization 2.0," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 18560.
    17. Bernard Hoekman & Douglas Nelson, 2020. "Subsidies, Spillovers and Multilateral Cooperation," RSCAS Working Papers 2020/12, European University Institute.

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