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Investment Criteria for Economic Development and the Theory of Intertemporal Welfare Economics

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  • Otto Eckstein

Abstract

Introduction, 56. — I. The "ideal" criterion under perfect competition, 57. — II. Capital rationing: the SMP criterion in a closed economy, 59; correcting market prices to reflect social values, 60; the interest rate in the SMP criterion, 63. — III. Modifying the rate of capital accumulation: the MGC criterion, 65. — IV. The interest rate in development planning, 74. — V. Some extensions of the analysis, 79; the optimal interest rate for the SMP criterion, 79; multiple rationing: investment criteria in the open economy, 81. — VI. Some limitations of the analysis, 83; population still an exogenous variable, 83; income distribution assumed satisfactory, 83. — VII. Concluding comments, 84.

Suggested Citation

  • Otto Eckstein, 1957. "Investment Criteria for Economic Development and the Theory of Intertemporal Welfare Economics," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 71(1), pages 56-85.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:qjecon:v:71:y:1957:i:1:p:56-85.
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    Cited by:

    1. Price, Colin, 2010. "Low discount rates and insignificant environmental values," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(10), pages 1895-1903, August.
    2. Cruz Rambaud, Salvador & Muñoz Torrecillas, María José, 2007. "Obtención de la tasa social de descuento a partir de la tasa de fallo de una distribución estadística: Aplicación empírica/Obtaining the social discount rate from the hazard rate of a statistical dist," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 25, pages 49-82, Abril.
    3. Erik Thorbecke, 2006. "The Evolution of the Development Doctrine, 1950-2005," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2006-155, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Frederick, Shane, 2006. "Valuing future life and future lives: A framework for understanding discounting," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 667-680, October.
    5. Tangren Feng & Shaowei Ke, 2018. "Social Discounting and Intergenerational Pareto," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(5), pages 1537-1567, September.
    6. Guadalupe Souto Nieves, 2003. "El descuento social," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 165(2), pages 99-126, June.
    7. Pasqual, Joan & Souto, Guadalupe, 2003. "Sustainability in natural resource management," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 47-59, August.
    8. Neha Khanna & Duane Chapman, 1996. "Time Preference, Abatement Costs, And International Climate Policy: An Appraisal Of Ipcc 1995," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 14(2), pages 56-66, April.
    9. Kenneth J. Arrow, 1999. "Inter-Generational Equity and the Rate of Discount in Long-Term Social Investment," International Economic Association Series, in: Murat R. Sertel (ed.), Contemporary Economic Issues, chapter 5, pages 89-102, Palgrave Macmillan.
    10. Gilberto MURARO, 1988. "Les Objectifs Dans L'Evaluation Des Investissements Publics," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(1), pages 23-42, January.
    11. Rafał Buła & Monika Foltyn-Zarychta, 2022. "Declining Discount Rates for Energy Policy Investments in CEE EU Member Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-27, December.
    12. Philippe Méral, 1998. "Future generations and economic activities: The case of the social discount rate," Forum for Social Economics, Springer;The Association for Social Economics, vol. 27(2), pages 1-14, March.
    13. Sumaila, Ussif R. & Walters, Carl, 2005. "Intergenerational discounting: a new intuitive approach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 135-142, January.
    14. Colin, Price, 2011. "Optimal rotation with declining discount rate," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 307-318, August.
    15. Michael Spackman, 2011. "Government discounting controversies: the valuation of social time preference," GRI Working Papers 68, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    16. Preston Greene, 2024. "Social bias, not time bias," Politics, Philosophy & Economics, , vol. 23(1), pages 100-121, February.
    17. Mareike Schad & Jürgen John, 2012. "Towards a social discount rate for the economic evaluation of health technologies in Germany: an exploratory analysis," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 13(2), pages 127-144, April.
    18. Bharadwaj K., 1989. "Formation of rural labour markets: an analysis with special reference to Asia," ILO Working Papers 992679613402676, International Labour Organization.
    19. H. Spencer Banzhaf, 2009. "Objective or Multi-Objective? Two Historically Competing Visions for Benefit-Cost Analysis," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 85(1), pages 3-23.

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