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The joint effect of government crop insurance and loan programmes on the demand for futures hedging

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  • Keith H. Coble

Abstract

This research re-evaluates producer risk management decisions regarding the choice of forward pricing strategies when governmentally subsidised crop insurance designs and price supports are available. An analytical model is developed to illustrate the substitution of loan programmes for hedging. In particular, we find that this relationship is conditioned on yield levels. Also, a numerical analysis is conducted that incorporates futures prices, basis and yield variability. Three alternative crop insurance designs are evaluated. Optimal futures hedge ratios are derived for expected utility-maximising soybean farmers. Our results suggest that government programme levels profoundly alter the farmer's optimal strategy. We also find that apparently speculative behaviour is risk-minimising when high loan rates and revenue insurance are combined. Copyright 2004, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Keith H. Coble, 2004. "The joint effect of government crop insurance and loan programmes on the demand for futures hedging," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 31(3), pages 309-330, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:erevae:v:31:y:2004:i:3:p:309-330
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    Cited by:

    1. Tangermann, Stefan, 2011. "Risk Management in Agriculture and the Future of the EU's Common Agricultural Policy," National Policies, Trade and Sustainable Development 320171, International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development (ICTSD).
    2. Ricome, Aymeric & Chaib, Karim & Ridier, Aude & Kephaliacos, Charilaos & Carpy-Goulard, Francoise, 2016. "The Role of Marketing Contracts in the Adoption of Low-Input Production Practices in the Presence of Income Supports: An Application in Southwestern France," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(3), pages 1-29.
    3. Antoine Leblois & Philippe Quirion & Agali Alhassane & Seydou Traoré, 2014. "Weather Index Drought Insurance: An Ex Ante Evaluation for Millet Growers in Niger," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 57(4), pages 527-551, April.
    4. Carpentier, Alain & Gohin, Alexandre & Sckokai, Paolo & Thomas, Alban, 2015. "Economic modelling of agricultural production: past advances and new challenges," Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement, Editions NecPlus, vol. 96(01), pages 131-165, March.
    5. Zhang, Rui (Carolyn) & Houston, Jack E. & Vedenov, Dmitry V. & Barnett, Barry J., 2008. "Impacts of government risk management policies on hedging in futures and options:LPM2 hedge model vs. EU hedge model," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37610, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    6. Aymeric Ricome & Arnaud Reynaud, 2022. "Marketing contract choices in agriculture: The role of price expectation and price risk management," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(1), pages 170-186, January.
    7. William E. Maples & Anil K. Giri & Keith H. Coble & Dipak Subedi, 2022. "Impact of government programs on producer demand for hedging," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(3), pages 1126-1138, September.
    8. Carter, Michael R. & Galarza, Francisco B. & Boucher, Steve, 2007. "Underwriting Area-based Yield Insurance to Crowd- in Credit Supply Demand," Working Papers 190918, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    9. Farid AitSahlia & Chung-Jui Wang & Victor Cabrera & Stan Uryasev & Clyde Fraisse, 2011. "Optimal crop planting schedules and financial hedging strategies under ENSO-based climate forecasts," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 190(1), pages 201-220, October.
    10. Woodard, Joshua D. & Garcia, Philip, 2008. "Weather Derivatives, Spatial Aggregation, and Systemic Risk: Implications for Reinsurance Hedging," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-18, April.
    11. Saed Alizamir & Foad Iravani & Hamed Mamani, 2019. "An Analysis of Price vs. Revenue Protection: Government Subsidies in the Agriculture Industry," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 32-49, January.
    12. Coble, Keith H., 2007. "Federal Crop Insurance and Farm Programs: Will WTO or Budget Concerns Shape the Debate? (Paper and PowerPoint)," Agricultural Outlook Forum 2007 8041, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum.
    13. Joshua D. Woodard & Bruce J. Sherrick & Gary D. Schnitkey, 2010. "Revenue Risk-Reduction Impacts of Crop Insurance in a Multicrop Framework," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 32(3), pages 472-488.
    14. Ricome, Aymeric & Chaib, Karim & Ridier, Aude & Kephaliacos, Charilaos & Carpy-Goulard, Francoise, 2012. "The role of cash crop marketing contracts in the adoption of low-input practices in the presence of risk and income supports," 126th Seminar, June 27-29, 2012, Capri, Italy 126222, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    15. Yang, Xi & Miao, Ruiqing & Khanna, Madhu, 2014. "Contracting in the Presence of Insurance: The Case of Bioenergy Crop Production," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170188, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. Nicholas D. Paulson & Gary D. Schnitkey & Bruce J. Sherrick, 2010. "Rental arrangements and risk mitigation of crop insurance and marketing," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 70(3), pages 399-413, November.
    17. Simone Cerroni, 2020. "Eliciting farmers’ subjective probabilities, risk, and uncertainty preferences using contextualized field experiments," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 51(5), pages 707-724, September.
    18. Walters, Cory G. & Preston, Richard, 2013. "Revenue Risk, Crop Insurance and Forward Contracting," 2013 AAEA: Crop Insurance and the Farm Bill Symposium 156821, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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