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Analysis Model On The Relation Between Macroeconomical Variable Tendencies And Comercial Bank’S Credit Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Trenca Ioan

    („Babes-Bolyai” University Cluj-Napoca, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration)

  • Benyovszki Anamaria

    („Babes-Bolyai” University Cluj-Napoca, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration)

Abstract

The main goal of this study is to apply a macroeconomic credit risk model which links a set of macroeconomic factors and industry-specific corporate sector default rates using Romanian data over the time period from 2002:2 to 2008:2. Using the modeled and

Suggested Citation

  • Trenca Ioan & Benyovszki Anamaria, 2009. "Analysis Model On The Relation Between Macroeconomical Variable Tendencies And Comercial Bank’S Credit Risk," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 682-689, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ora:journl:v:3:y:2009:i:1:p:682-689
    as

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    File URL: http://steconomice.uoradea.ro/anale/volume/2009/v3-finances-banks-and-accountancy/115.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Laeven, Luc & Majnoni, Giovanni, 2003. "Loan loss provisioning and economic slowdowns: too much, too late?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 178-197, April.
    2. Bikker, J.A. & Metzemakers, P.A.J., 2005. "Bank provisioning behaviour and procyclicality," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 141-157, April.
    3. Jacobson, Tor & Linde, Jesper & Roszbach, Kasper, 2005. "Exploring interactions between real activity and the financial stance," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 308-341, April.
    4. Carling, Kenneth & Jacobson, Tor & Linde, Jesper & Roszbach, Kasper, 2007. "Corporate credit risk modeling and the macroeconomy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 845-868, March.
    5. repec:onb:oenbwp:y:2002:i:3:b:3 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Harvir Kalirai & Martin Scheicher, 2002. "Macroeconomic Stress Testing: Preliminary Evidence for Austria," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 58-74.
    7. Sudheer Chava & Robert A. Jarrow, 2008. "Bankruptcy Prediction with Industry Effects," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 21, pages 517-549, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Hamerle, Alfred & Liebig, Thilo & Scheule, Harald, 2004. "Forecasting Credit Portfolio Risk," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2004,01, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit risk; industry-specific default rate; credit portfolio loss distribution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

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