IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ods/journl/v7y2018i4p214-224.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Relationship Between Inflation Rate and Nominal Interest Rate in Bolivarian Republic Of Venezuela: Revisiting Fisher’s Hypothesis

Author

Listed:
  • Mustafa Kasim

    (University of Brighton, United Kingdom)

  • Bentouir Naima

    (Ain Temouchent University, Algeria)

Abstract

Stability of economics over the world represented by understanding the relationship among the interest rate and inflation rate. This paper investigates the relationship between inflation rate and nominal interest rate based on Fisher equation, using a monthly frequency data in case of Venezuela between 1/1/1990 to 31/12/2016. The Dickey Fuller (ADF) test and Phillips-Perron (PP) test both have empirically used to check the unit root. Also, Johansen for Co-integration test is exploited to study the equilibrium relation for long run between the inflation rate and the nominal interest rate in the time series data. The result shows that both variables are non-stationary at Level I (0) in both tests (ADF and PP), after converting the variables to first difference I (1) with taking the log both of interest rate and inflation rate become stationary. The Johansen co-integration null hypothesis is failed to be rejected in both tests Trace-statistics test and Max-Eigen statistics. This means that the long-run equilibrium relation between the inflation rate and nominal interest rate in Venezuela during 1990 to 2016 is not existed, i.e. the Fisher hypothesis does not hold through the sub-period in Venezuela.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustafa Kasim & Bentouir Naima, 2018. "The Relationship Between Inflation Rate and Nominal Interest Rate in Bolivarian Republic Of Venezuela: Revisiting Fisher’s Hypothesis," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 7(4), pages 214-224, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ods:journl:v:7:y:2018:i:4:p:214-224
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.jami.org.ua/Papers/JAMI_7_4_2018_214-224.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mihir Dash, 2017. "A Study of Granger Causality in Latin American Stock Markets," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 6(2), pages 82-88, May.
    2. Joakim Westerlund, 2008. "Panel cointegration tests of the Fisher effect," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 193-233.
    3. Million, Nicolas, 2004. "Central Bank's interventions and the Fisher hypothesis: a threshold cointegration investigation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 1051-1064, December.
    4. Beyer, Andreas & Dewald, William G. & Haug, Alfred A., 2009. "Structural breaks, cointegration and the Fisher effect," Working Paper Series 1013, European Central Bank.
    5. Hakan Berument & Mohamed Mehdi Jelassi, 2002. "The Fisher hypothesis: a multi-country analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(13), pages 1645-1655.
    6. Ziyi Li & Xiaosong Zheng, 2017. "A Critical Study of Commercial Banks' Credit Risk Assessment and Management for SMEs: The Case of Agricultural Bank of China," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 6(2), pages 106-117, May.
    7. Charles O. Manasseh & Felicia C. Abada & Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & Josaphat U. J. Onwumere & Chinasa E. Urama & Okoro E. Okoro, 2018. "The Effects of Interest and Inflation Rates on Consumption Expenditure: Application of Consumer Spending Model," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 32-38.
    8. Doaa Akl Ahmed & Mamdouh Abdelmoula M. Abdelsalam, 2018. "Inflation Instability Impact on Interest Rate in Egypt: Augmented Fisher Hypothesis Test," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, January.
    9. Yiyou Wang, 2016. "An Exploratory Study of Interest Rate Liberalization in Commercial Banks in China," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 5(4), pages 270-279, November.
    10. Kate Phylaktis & David Blake, 1993. "The fisher hypothesis: Evidence from three high inflation economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 129(3), pages 591-599, September.
    11. Ekrem Gul & Sezgin Acikalin, 2008. "An examination of the Fisher Hypothesis: the case of Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(24), pages 3227-3231.
    12. Salim Ergene, 2015. "Growth, inflation, interest rate and informality: Panel VAR evidence from OECD Economies," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(1), pages 750-763.
    13. Markku Lanne, 2001. "Near unit root and the relationship between inflation and interest rates: A reexamination of the Fisher effect," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 357-366.
    14. Dilek Teker & Elçin Aykaç Alp & Oya Kent, 2012. "Long-Run Relation between Interest Rates and Inflation: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 2(6), pages 1-4.
    15. Brigitte Granville & Sushanta Mallick, 2004. "Fisher hypothesis: UK evidence over a century," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 87-90.
    16. Ionuţ Cristian BACIU, 2014. "The Relationship Between Inflation And The Main Macroeconomic Variables In Romania," Network Intelligence Studies, Romanian Foundation for Business Intelligence, Editorial Department, issue 4, pages 161-172, November.
    17. Paleologos, John M. & Georgantelis, Spyros E., 1999. "Does the Fisher Effect Apply in Greece? A Cointegration Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 52(2), pages 229-243.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. S, Surayya, 2018. "Alternative Specifications of Fisher Hypothesis: An Empirical Investigation," MPRA Paper 90320, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2016. "On The Fisher Effect: A Review," MPRA Paper 77916, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2016.
    3. Andrew Phiri, 2023. "Fisher’s hypothesis in time–frequency space: a premier using South Africa as a case study," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 4255-4284, October.
    4. Muhammed TIRAŞOĞLU, 2018. "Fisher Hipotezinin MINT Ülkeleri İçin İncelenmesi: Eşik Değerli Adl Eşbütünleşme Testi Yaklaşımı," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 14(28), pages 31-43, December.
    5. Bosupeng, Mpho & Biza-Khupe, Simangaliso, 2015. "The Impact of Money Supply Volatility on the Fisher Effect –A Botswana Empirical Perspective," MPRA Paper 77920, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    6. Mpho Bosupeng, 2015. "The Fisher Effect Using Differences in The Deterministic Term," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 5(4), pages 1031-1031.
    7. Mohammed Saiful ISLAM & Mohammad Hasmat ALI, 2012. "Taylor Principle Supplements the Fisher Effect: Empirical Investigation under the US Context," Economia. Seria Management, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 15(1), pages 189-203, June.
    8. Peter Kehinde, Mogaji, 2010. "Fisher Effect and the Relationship between Nominal Interest Rates and Inflation: The Case of Nigeria," MPRA Paper 98760, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Somayeh Madadpour & Mohsen Asgari, 2019. "The puzzling relationship between stocks return and inflation: a review article," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 66(2), pages 115-145, June.
    10. Burcu Kiran, 2013. "A fractional cointegration analysis of Fisher hypothesis: evidence from Turkey," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 1077-1084, February.
    11. Yuki Toyoshima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2011. "Panel cointegration analysis of the Fisher effect: Evidence from the US, the UK, and Japan," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2674-2682.
    12. Utku ALTUNÖZ, 2018. "Investigating the Presence of Fisher Effect for the China Economy," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 26(35).
    13. David O. Cushman & Glauco De Vita & Emmanouil Trachanas, 2023. "Is the Fisher effect asymmetric? Cointegration analysis and expectations measurement," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3727-3748, October.
    14. Nektarios Aslanidis & Selva Demiralp, 2020. "Has the Financial Crisis affected the Real Interest Rate Dynamics in Europe?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(1), pages 1-18, April.
    15. Jesús Clemente & María Dolores Gadea & Antonio Montañés & Marcelo Reyes, 2017. "Structural Breaks, Inflation and Interest Rates: Evidence from the G7 Countries," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, February.
    16. İsmet Göçer & Serdar Ongan, 2020. "Asymmetric Impacts of Inflation on the US Bond Rates and FED’s Pre-Emptive Policy," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 5(2), pages 143-157, December.
    17. Gawon Yoon, 2010. "Does nonlinearity help resolve the Fisher effect puzzle?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(8), pages 823-828.
    18. Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya & Savaş Kaptan & Metehan Cömert, 2019. "Interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates in fragile EMEs: A fresh look at the long-run interrelationships," Working Papers halshs-02095652, HAL.
    19. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2010. "Testing for cointegration using the Johansen methodology when variables are near-integrated: size distortions and partial remedies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 51-76, August.
    20. Devarakonda, S. & Chittineni, J., 2019. "Does Insurance Promote Economic Growth? Evidence from BRICS Countries," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 8(3), pages 135-146, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    bankruptcy; business; ethics; manager; appropriation economics; social inequalities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ods:journl:v:7:y:2018:i:4:p:214-224. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Anatoliy G. Goncharuk (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dmonaua.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.