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Measuring systemic risk: the role of macro-prudential indicators

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Abstract

This article outlines some of the key indicators the Reserve Bank uses to help inform macro -prudential policy decisions. Macro-prudential indicators (MPIs) play an important role in the identification of financial system risk; the assessment of the banking system's capacity to weather periods of financial stress; and in signalling periods of financial stress. The indicators inform decisions to both deploy and remove macro-prudential instruments. The article explains how the MPI framework helped to frame the recent decision to impose residential mortgage loan-to-value (LVR) restrictions. Data-file for MPIs (XLS 1.1MB) discussed in the main text of this article.

Suggested Citation

  • Tony Wolken, 2013. "Measuring systemic risk: the role of macro-prudential indicators," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 76, pages 13-30, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nzb:nzbbul:dec2013:03
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    File URL: http://rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/ReserveBank/Files/Publications/Bulletins/2013/2013dec76-4wolken.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael, 2014. "Evaluating early warning indicators of banking crises: Satisfying policy requirements," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 759-780.
    2. Rebecca Craigie & Anella Munro, 2010. "Financial sector amplification and credit cycles in New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 73, pages 15-34, June.
    3. Lamorna Rogers, 2013. "A new approach to macro-prudential policy for New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 76, pages 12-22, September.
    4. Chris Hunt, 2013. "The last financial crisis and the case for macro-prudential intervention," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 76, pages 3-16, June.
    5. Rochelle M. Edge & Ralf R. Meisenzahl, 2011. "The unreliability of credit-to-GDP ratio gaps in real-time: Implications for countercyclical capital buffers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-37, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Rochelle M. Edge & Ralf R. Meisenzahl, 2011. "The Unreliability of Credit-to-GDP Ratio Gaps in Real Time: Implications for Countercyclical Capital Buffers," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 7(4), pages 261-298, December.
    7. Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius, 2012. "Do debt service costs affect macroeconomic and financial stability?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    8. Gianni De Nicolo & Giovanni Favara & Lev Ratnovski, 2012. "Externalities and Macroprudential Policy," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 12/05, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Mathias Drehmann & Claudio Borio & Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2011. "Anchoring Countercyclical Capital Buffers: The role of Credit Aggregates," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 7(4), pages 189-240, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aikman, David & Kiley, Michael & Lee, Seung Jung & Palumbo, Michael G. & Warusawitharana, Missaka, 2017. "Mapping heat in the U.S. financial system," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 36-64.
    2. Maria Afreen, 2020. "Review Paper on Composite Leading Index Creation for Forecasting the Bangladeshi Financial Sector," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 9(4), pages 23-32, October.
    3. Bengtsson, Elias & Grothe, Magdalena & Lepers, Etienne, 2020. "Home, safe home: Cross-country monitoring framework for vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    4. Lee, Minsoo & Gaspar, Raymond & Villaruel, Mai Lin, 2017. "Macroprudential Policy Frameworks in Developing Asian Economies," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 510, Asian Development Bank.
    5. Lojschova, Adriana & Wagner, Karin & Schmidt, Alexander & Akantziliotou, Calliope & Dujardin, Marine & Kennedy, Gerard & Pontuch, Peter, 2015. "Report on residential real estate and financial stability in the EU, Section 1. on Structural features of residential real estate markets," MPRA Paper 79723, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Salim M. Darbar & Xiaoyong Wu, 2016. "Experiences with Macroprudential Policy — Five Case Studies," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(03), pages 1-34, October.
    7. Mathias Drehmann & Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2014. "The credit-to-GDP gap and countercyclical capital buffers: questions and answers," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    8. Akaki Liqokeli, 2020. "Measuring Credit Gaps for Macroprudential Policy Guidance: An Application to Georgia," NBG Working Papers 05/2020, National Bank of Georgia.
    9. Lamorna Rogers, 2014. "An A to Z of loan-to-value ratio (LVR) restrictions," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 77, pages 3-14, March.

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