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Stock Market and Macroeconomic Policies: New Evidence from Pacific Basin Countries

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  • Unro Lee

    (University of the Pacific, U.S.A.)

Abstract

This article investigates whether the stock markets of the Pacific Basin countries of Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan are informationally efficient with respect to macroeconomic policies. Granger causality tests are utilized in the context of a Vector Error Correction Model to test the relationship between aggregate stock prices and monetary and fiscal policies. The findings indicate that the stock markets of all four countries are not efficient with respect to both macroeconomic policies. These findings are different from those of other articles focusing on major industrialized countries. Rejection of market efficiency may be attributed to the unique structure of financial markets in these countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Unro Lee, 1997. "Stock Market and Macroeconomic Policies: New Evidence from Pacific Basin Countries," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 1(4), pages 273-289, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:mfj:journl:v:1:y:1997:i:4:p:273-289
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Antonis Demos & George Vasillelis, 2007. "U.K. Stock Market Inefficiencies and the Risk Premium," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 11(1-2), pages 97-122, March-Jun.
    3. Rudra P. PRADHAN & Mak B. ARVIN & Bele SAMADHAN & Shilpa TANEJA, 2013. "The Impact of Stock Market Development on Inflation and Economic Growth of 16 Asian Countries: A Panel VAR Approach," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 203-218.
    4. Xiangnan Meng & Xin Deng, 2013. "Interest Rate and Foreign Exchange Sensitivity of Bank Stock Returns: Evidence from China," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 17(1-2), pages 77-106, March - J.
    5. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & Neville R. Norman & John H. Hall, 2014. "The dynamics of banking sector and stock market maturity and the performance of Asian economies," Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 30(1), pages 16-44, May.
    6. Ram Chandra Bhattarai & Nayan Krishna Joshi, 2009. "Dynamic Relationship among the Stock Market and the Macroeconomic Factors," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 10(2), pages 451-469, July.
    7. Stoian, Andreea & Iorgulescu, Filip, 2020. "Fiscal policy and stock market efficiency: An ARDL Bounds Testing approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 406-416.
    8. Mukti Bahadur Khatri, 2019. "Macroeconomic Influence on the Nepalese Stock Market," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 31(1), pages 47-64, April.
    9. Laopodis, Nikiforos T., 2009. "Fiscal policy and stock market efficiency: Evidence for the United States," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 633-650, May.
    10. Asjeet S. Lamba & Isaac Otchere, 2001. "An Analysis of the Dynamic Relationships Between the South African Equity Market and Major World Equity Markets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 5(3), pages 201-224, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pacific Basin countries; stock returns; macroeconomic policies; informational efficiency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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