IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mfj/journl/v11y2007i3-4p253-285.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Swedish Stock Recommendations: Information Content or Price Pressure?

Author

Listed:
  • Erik R. Lidén

    (Göteborg University, Sweden)

Abstract

The paper analyzes stock-price reactions to stock recommendations published in printed Swedish media and also trading volumes at and around the publication day, bid/ask spreads, and the post publication drift in recommended stocks for the period 1995 – 2000. Its small size and limited number of actors makes the Swedish stock market an interesting comparison to the U.S. stock markets. The positive publication-day effect for buy recommendations was almost fully reversed after 20 days, supporting the price pressure hypothesis, and the effect for sell recommendations was negative and prices continued to drift down, supporting the information hypothesis. Analysts seem to hand their information to clients before publication, whereas no such information leaking pattern was observed for journalists. The impact to recommendations from journalists was significantly larger than analyst recommendations, implying a tradeoff between the size of pre-publication cumulative abnormal returns and the publication-day effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Erik R. Lidén, 2007. "Swedish Stock Recommendations: Information Content or Price Pressure?," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 11(3-4), pages 253-285, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:mfj:journl:v:11:y:2007:i:3-4:p:253-285
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.mfsociety.org/modules/modDashboard/uploadFiles/journals/MJ~751~p16tr412n4r2u3pul5114g4bt14.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.mfsociety.org/modules/modDashboard/uploadFiles/journals/googleScholar/772.html
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1985. "Using daily stock returns : The case of event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 3-31, March.
    2. Ajinkya, Bipin B. & Jain, Prem C., 1989. "The behavior of daily stock market trading volume," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 331-359, November.
    3. Mathur, Ike & Waheed, Amjad, 1995. "Stock Price Reactions to Securities Recommended in Business Week's "Inside Wall Street."," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 30(3), pages 583-604, August.
    4. Barber, Brad M. & Loeffler, Douglas, 1993. "The “Dartboard†Column: Second-Hand Information and Price Pressure," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(2), pages 273-284, June.
    5. Bilgehan Yazici & Gulnur Muradoglu, 2002. "Dissemination of Stock Recommendations and Small Investors: Who Benefits?," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 6(1), pages 29-42, March.
    6. Ferreira, Eurico J. & Smith, Stanley D., 1999. "Stock price reactions to recommendations in the Wall Street Journal "Small Stock Focus" column," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 379-389.
    7. Palmon, Oded & Sun, Huey-Lian & Tang, Alex P, 1994. "The Impact of Publication of Analysts' Recommendations on Returns and Trading Volume," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 29(3), pages 395-417, August.
    8. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1980. "Measuring security price performance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 205-258, September.
    9. Beneish, Messod D, 1991. "Stock Prices and the Dissemination of Analysts' Recommendations," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 64(3), pages 393-416, July.
    10. Liu, Pu & Smith, Stanley D. & Syed, Azmat A., 1990. "Stock Price Reactions to The Wall Street Journal's Securities Recommendations," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 399-410, September.
    11. Glosten, Lawrence R. & Milgrom, Paul R., 1985. "Bid, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 71-100, March.
    12. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    13. Lloyd-Davies, Peter & Canes, Michael, 1978. "Stock Prices and the Publication of Second-Hand Information," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(1), pages 43-56, January.
    14. Healy, Paul M. & Palepu, Krishna G., 2001. "Information asymmetry, corporate disclosure, and the capital markets: A review of the empirical disclosure literature," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 405-440, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lidén, Erik R., 2003. "Swedish Stock Recommendations: Information Content or Price Pressure?," Working Papers in Economics 98, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics, revised 19 Nov 2004.
    2. Enrico Maria Cervellati & Riccardo Ferretti & Pierpaolo Pattitoni, 2011. "Market Reaction to Second-Hand News: Attention Grabbing or Information Dissemination," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0024, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
    3. Enrico Maria Cervellati & Riccardo Ferretti & Pierpaolo Pattitoni, 2014. "Market reaction to second-hand news: inside the attention-grabbing hypothesis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(10), pages 1108-1121, April.
    4. Zhang, Yongjie & Song, Weixin & Shen, Dehua & Zhang, Wei, 2016. "Market reaction to internet news: Information diffusion and price pressure," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 43-49.
    5. Zhang, Yuzhao & Liu, Haifei, 2021. "Stock market reactions to social media: Evidence from WeChat recommendations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 562(C).
    6. Philipp M. Schlumpf & Markus M. Schmid & Heinz Zimmermann, 2008. "The First‐ and Second‐Hand Effect of Analysts' Stock Recommendations: Evidence from the Swiss Stock Market," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 14(5), pages 962-988, November.
    7. Neumann, John J. & Kenny, Peppi M., 2007. "Does Mad Money make the market go mad," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(5), pages 602-615, December.
    8. Kiymaz, Halil, 2001. "The effects of stock market rumors on stock prices: evidence from an emerging market," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 105-115, February.
    9. Ferreira, Eurico J. & Smith, Stanley D., 1999. "Stock price reactions to recommendations in the Wall Street Journal "Small Stock Focus" column," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 379-389.
    10. Scott Brown & Jose J. Cao-Alvira & Eric Powers, 2013. "Do Investment Newsletters Move Markets?," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 42(2), pages 315-338, June.
    11. Albert, Robert Jr. & Smaby, Timothy R., 1996. "Market response to analyst recommendations in the "dartboard" column: the information and price-pressure effects," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 59-74.
    12. Jorida Papakroni, 2018. "The dispersion anomaly and analyst recommendations," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 861-896, April.
    13. Szymon Okoń, 2012. "Investor Reaction to Mandatory Offers on the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 6(2), June.
    14. Robert L. Albert & Timothy R. Smaby, 1996. "Market response to analyst recommendations in the “dartboard” column: the information and price‐pressure effects," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), pages 59-74, December.
    15. Pieper, Ute & Schiereck, Dirk & Weber, Martin, 1992. "Die Kaufempfehlungen des "Effecten-Spiegel": Eine empirische Untersuchung im Lichte der Effizienzthese des Kapitalmarktes," Manuskripte aus den Instituten für Betriebswirtschaftslehre der Universität Kiel 296, Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel, Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre.
    16. Fishe, Raymond P. H. & Robe, Michel A., 2004. "The impact of illegal insider trading in dealer and specialist markets: evidence from a natural experiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(3), pages 461-488, March.
    17. Eurico Ferreira, 2019. "ECB, BoE and Fed Monetary-Policy announcements: price and volume effects on European securities markets," Working Papers w201914, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    18. Zivney, Terry L. & Bertin, William J. & Torabzadeh, Khalil M., 1996. "Overreaction to takeover speculation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 89-115.
    19. Jagjeev Dosanjh, 2017. "Exchange Initiatives and Market Efficiency: Evidence from the Australian Securities Exchange," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2017.
    20. Barakat, Ahmed & Ashby, Simon & Fenn, Paul, 2018. "The reputational effects of analysts' stock recommendations and credit ratings: Evidence from operational risk announcements in the financial industry," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-22.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    price pressure hypothesis; information hypothesis; journalists; analysts;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mfj:journl:v:11:y:2007:i:3-4:p:253-285. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Theodossiou Panayiotis (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/mfsssea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.