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Swedish Stock Recommendations: Information Content or Price Pressure?

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Author Info
Lidén, Erik R. () (Department of Economics, School of Economics and Commercial Law, Göteborg University)
Abstract

The paper analyzes stock-price reactions to stock recommendations published in printed Swedish media and also trading volumes at and around the publication day, bid/ask spreads, and the post-publication drift in recommended stocks for the period 1995-2000. Its small size and limited number of actors makes the Swedish stock market an interesting comparison to the U.S. stock markets. The positive publication-day effect for buy recommendations was almost fully reversed after 20 days, supporting the price-pressure hypothesis, and the effect for sell recommendations was negative and prices continued to drift down, supporting the information hypothesis. Analysts seem to hand their information to clients before publication, whereas no such information-leaking pattern was observed for journalists. The impact to recommendations from journalists was significantly larger than analyst recommendations, implying a tradeoff between the size of pre-publication cumulative abnormal returns and the publication-day effect.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2077/2751
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Göteborg University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers in Economics with number 98.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: 11 May 2003
Date of revision: 19 Sep 2003
Handle: RePEc:hhs:gunwpe:0098

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University Box 640, SE 405 30 GÖTEBORG, Sweden
Phone: 031-773 10 00
Web page: http://www.handels.gu.se/econ/
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Related research
Keywords: Price-pressure hypothesis; Information hypothesis; Journalists; Analysts;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1985. "Using daily stock returns : The case of event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 3-31, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Palmon, Oded & Sun, Huey-Lian & Tang, Alex P, 1994. "The Impact of Publication of Analysts' Recommendations on Returns and Trading Volume," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 29(3), pages 395-417, August.
  3. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1980. "Measuring security price performance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 205-258, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Liu, Pu & Smith, Stanley D. & Syed, Azmat A., 1990. "Stock Price Reactions to The Wall Street Journal's Securities Recommendations," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(03), pages 399-410, September. [Downloadable!]
  5. Ajinkya, Bipin B. & Jain, Prem C., 1989. "The behavior of daily stock market trading volume," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 331-359, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Barber, Brad M. & Loeffler, Douglas, 1993. "The ?Dartboard? Column: Second-Hand Information and Price Pressure," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(02), pages 273-284, June. [Downloadable!]
  8. Lloyd-Davies, Peter & Canes, Michael, 1978. "Stock Prices and the Publication of Second-Hand Information," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(1), pages 43-56, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Salinger, Michael, 1992. "Standard Errors in Event Studies," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(01), pages 39-53, March. [Downloadable!]
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