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Seigniorage and Inflation: The Case of Argentina

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  • Kiguel, Miguel A
  • Neumeyer, Pablo Andres

Abstract

This paper studies the relation between seigniorage and inflation in Argentina for the period 1979-1989. We estimate a money demand function and derive the Laffer curve for several sub-periods with different monetary/exchange rate regimes. We find that for most of the period the Argentine economy remained on the 'efficient' side of the Laffer curve. The long-run revenue maximizing rate of inflation has been around 20 percent per month for the 'tablita' (1979-1981) and post-Austral (1985-1988) periods and around 30 percent per month for the pre-Austral period (1982-1985). The long-run maximum level of seigniorage has been above 6 percent of GDP. Our results imply that the hyperinflation experienced by Argentina in 1989 can be interpreted as an unstable phenomenon that resulted from the need to collect a level of seigniorage that exceeded the maximum warranted by the demand for money. Copyright 1995 by Ohio State University Press.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 27 (1995)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 672-82

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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:27:y:1995:i:3:p:672-82

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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Cited by:
  1. Buffie, Edward F., 1998. "Public sector price increases, credibility and welfare," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 127-151, February.
  2. Dhaneshwar Ghura & Michael T. Hadjimichael, 1995. "Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers 95/136, International Monetary Fund.
  3. Marcet, A. & Nicolini, J.P., 1997. "Recurrent Hyperinflations and Learning," Papers 9721, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Y Financieros-.
  4. Óscar J. Arce, 2006. "Speculative hyperinflations: when can we rule them out?," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 0607, Banco de Espa�a.
  5. Bali, Turan G. & Thurston, Thom, 2000. "Empirical estimates of inflation tax Laffer surfaces: a 30-country study," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 529-546, December.
  6. Levent, Korap, 2006. "Seigniorage revenue and Turkish economy," MPRA Paper 20106, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  7. Stefka Slavova, 2003. "Money demand during hyperinflation and stabilization: Bulgaria, 1991-2000," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(11), pages 1303-1316.
  8. Vázquez Pérez, Jesús & Gutiérrez Huerta, María José, 2002. "Explosive Hyperinflation, Inflation Tax Laffer Curve and Modelling the use of Money," DFAEII Working Papers 2002-27, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
  9. Miguel A. Savastano & Paul R. Masson & Sunil Sharma, 1997. "The Scope for Inflation Targeting in Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 97/130, International Monetary Fund.
  10. Arce, Oscar J., 2009. "Speculative hyperinflations and currency substitution," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(10), pages 1808-1823, October.
  11. Adenutsi, Deodat E., 2007. "The policy dilemma of economic openness and seigniorage-maximizing inflation in dollarised developing countries: The Ghanaian experience," MPRA Paper 37134, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Pablo Druck & Pietro Garibaldi, 2000. "Inflation Risk and Portfolio Allocation in the Banking System," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 181, Universidad del CEMA.
  13. Guy Debelle & Miguel A. Savastano & Paul R. Masson & Sunil Sharma, 1998. "Inflation Targeting as a Framework for Monetary Policy," IMF Economic Issues 15, International Monetary Fund.

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