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Money Growth Volatility and the Macroeconomy

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Author Info
McMillin, W Douglas

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Abstract

This study analyzes the effects of variability in money growth on the macroeconomy, for the period 1961:1-1984:4, within the context of a vector autoregressive model that contains variables typically included in a small macro model. Variance decompositions and historical decompositions are used to assess the impact of money growth variability. The variance decompositions suggest substantial effects of money growth variability on the long-term interest rate, output, and the price level. Historical decompositions for 1979:4-1984:4 suggest substantial effects of money growth variability on the interest rate and output, but smaller effects on the price level are found. Copyright 1988 by Ohio State University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 20 (1988)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 319-35
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:20:y:1988:i:3:p:319-35

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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  1. Dewan A. Abdullah, 1998. "Money Growth Variability And Stock Returns: An Innovations Accounting Analysis," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 12(4), pages 89-94, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. M. Nagy Eltony, . "Oil Price Fluctuations and their Impact on the Macroeconomic Variables of Kuwait: A Case Study Using a VAR Model," API-Working Paper Series 9908, Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait, Information Center. [Downloadable!]
  3. Abul M. M. Masih & Rumi Masih, 1997. "Bivariate and Multivariate Tests of Money-Price Causality: Robust Evidence from a Small Developing Country," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(6), pages 803-825.
  4. H. Atesoglu & Donald Dutkowsky, 1992. "The changing effect of money on aggregate output in the u.s," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 128(2), pages 221-236, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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