IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/lrc/lareco/v5y2017i3p35-45.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Proportional Hazards Model of Bank Failure: Evidence from USA

Author

Listed:
  • Raymond A. K. Cox

    (Thompson Rivers University, Canada)

  • Randall K. Kimmel

    (Thompson Rivers University, Canada)

  • Grace W.Y. Wang

    (Texas A & M University at Galveston. United States)

Abstract

This study uses the Cox Proportional Hazards Model, examining the operating and financial characteristics of banks as well as market and economic conditions, to demonstrate what caused US bank failures. Consistent effects indicate US banks were more likely to survive when having higher capital, loan to assets, short term debt securities, and return on assets. The failure rate was greater when their loan loss allowances and past due accounts were high. The results of this research will help banks, central banks, governments, and regulators to forecast which banks are in financial trouble and understand why. They can then take effective action to shore up the financial strength of the affected banks as well as the financial system. Classification JEL:

Suggested Citation

  • Raymond A. K. Cox & Randall K. Kimmel & Grace W.Y. Wang, 2017. "Proportional Hazards Model of Bank Failure: Evidence from USA," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 5(3), pages 35-45, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:lrc:lareco:v:5:y:2017:i:3:p:35-45
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.journalofeconomics.org/index.php/site/article/view/290/322
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sinkey, Joseph F, Jr, 1975. "A Multivariate Statistical Analysis of the Characteristics of Problem Banks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 30(1), pages 21-36, March.
    2. Rebel Cole & Lawrence White, 2012. "Déjà Vu All Over Again: The Causes of U.S. Commercial Bank Failures This Time Around," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 42(1), pages 5-29, October.
    3. Raymond A. K. Cox & Randall K. Kimmel & Grace W. Y. Wang, 2016. "Equity Capital as a Safety Cushion in the US Banking Sector," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(9), pages 50-68, September.
    4. Grace W.Y. Wang & Raymond A.K. Cox, 2013. "Risk taking by US banks led to their failures," International Journal of Financial Services Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(1), pages 39-59.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kristóf, Tamás & Virág, Miklós, 2022. "EU-27 bank failure prediction with C5.0 decision trees and deep learning neural networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    2. Cebula, Richard J. & Xu, Jiay, 2023. "A Brief Survey of Recent Studies of Bank Failures in the U.S," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 76(2), pages 265-274.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kristóf, Tamás & Virág, Miklós, 2022. "EU-27 bank failure prediction with C5.0 decision trees and deep learning neural networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    2. Kimmel, Randall K. & Thornton, John H. & Bennett, Sara E., 2016. "Can statistics-based early warning systems detect problem banks before markets?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 190-216.
    3. Papanikolaou, Nikolaos I., 2018. "To be bailed out or to be left to fail? A dynamic competing risks hazard analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 61-85.
    4. Cleary, Sean & Hebb, Greg, 2016. "An efficient and functional model for predicting bank distress: In and out of sample evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 101-111.
    5. Pierluigi Bologna, 2015. "Structural Funding and Bank Failures," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 47(1), pages 81-113, February.
    6. Koresh Galil & Margalit Samuel & Offer Moshe Shapir & Wolf Wagner, 2023. "Bailouts and the modeling of bank distress," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 7-30, February.
    7. Ken B. Cyree & Travis R. Davidson & John D. Stowe, 2020. "Forming appropriate peer groups for bank research: a cluster analysis of bank financial statements," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(2), pages 211-237, April.
    8. Fiordelisi, Franco & Mare, Davide Salvatore, 2013. "Probability of default and efficiency in cooperative banking," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 30-45.
    9. Mare, Davide Salvatore, 2015. "Contribution of macroeconomic factors to the prediction of small bank failures," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 25-39.
    10. Chernykh, Lucy & Cole, Rebel A., 2015. "How should we measure bank capital adequacy for triggering Prompt Corrective Action? A (simple) proposal," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 131-143.
    11. Li Xian Liu & Shuangzhe Liu & Milind Sathye, 2021. "Predicting Bank Failures: A Synthesis of Literature and Directions for Future Research," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-24, October.
    12. repec:erf:erfstu:78 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Jorge E. Galán, 2021. "CREWS: a CAMELS-based early warning system of systemic risk in the banking sector," Occasional Papers 2132, Banco de España.
    14. James R. Barth & Wenling Lu & Yanfei Sun, 2020. "Regulatory Restrictions on US Bank Funding Sources: A Review of the Treatment of Brokered Deposits," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-27, June.
    15. Gogas, Periklis & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Agrapetidou, Anna, 2018. "Forecasting bank failures and stress testing: A machine learning approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 440-455.
    16. Christophe Godlewski, 2004. "Modélisation de la Prévision de Défaillance Bancaire Une Application aux Banques des Pays Emergents," Finance 0409026, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Cowan, Arnold R. & Salotti, Valentina, 2015. "The resolution of failed banks during the crisis: Acquirer performance and FDIC guarantees, 2008–2013," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 222-238.
    18. Kočenda, Evžen & Iwasaki, Ichiro, 2020. "Bank survival in Central and Eastern Europe," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 860-878.
    19. Joe Peek & Eric Rosengren, 1997. "Derivatives Activity at Troubled Banks," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 12(2), pages 287-302, October.
    20. Guo, Lin, 1999. "When and why did FSLIC resolve insolvent thrifts?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 955-990, June.
    21. Bergeaud, Antonin & Eyméoud, Jean-Benoît & Garcia, Thomas & Henricot, Dorian, 2023. "Working from home and corporate real estate," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:lrc:lareco:v:5:y:2017:i:3:p:35-45. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: S Marjan (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journalofeconomics.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.