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A hitelkockázat és a feltételes követelés modellje
[The model of credit risk and conditional claims]

Author

Listed:
  • Horváth, Edit

Abstract

A hitelintézetek, bankok által viselt kockázatok közül legjelentősebbnek a hitelkockázat tekinthető. E kockázatnak tükröződnie kell a hitel értékében, és gondoskodni kell megfelelő kezeléséről. A hitelkockázat értékelésére tett eddigi próbálkozásokat nemzetközi szinten is megakadályozta az illikvid hitelpiac és az adathiány. Az elméleti szakemberek, a legjelentősebb bankok és tanácsadócégek a piaci kockázatok kezelésében használt módszerek adaptálására törekedtek: így a Markowitz-féle portfólióelmélet és a VaR- (Value-at-Risk) módszer alkalmazásával próbálták meg mérsékelni és kezelni a hitelkockázatot. E módszerek, modellek rövid áttekintése után a tanulmány részletesebben a KMV tanácsadó cég opciós elvű megközelítését ismerteti, és bemutatja annak ügyfél-, majd ügyletminősítésre alkalmas eljárásait. Elsősorban azért, mert ez magyarországi környezetben (amely illikvid kötvénypiaccal és likvidnek tekinthető részvénypiaccal jellemezhető) a tőzsdére bevezetett cégek számára könnyen alkalmazható, másrészt hasznos lehet a vállalatok értékelésében is - ezt a tanulmány a Mol Rt. példáján illusztrálja.

Suggested Citation

  • Horváth, Edit, 2001. "A hitelkockázat és a feltételes követelés modellje [The model of credit risk and conditional claims]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 430-441.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:387
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
    2. Crouhy, Michel & Galai, Dan & Mark, Robert, 2000. "A comparative analysis of current credit risk models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1-2), pages 59-117, January.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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