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Hogyan szálazzuk szét a megfigyelhető változások okait?
[Decomposing observable changes into their causes]

Author

Listed:
  • Naszódi, Anna

Abstract

A tanulmány egy olyan dekompozíciós képlet alkalmazását mutatja be, amellyel időbeli változásokat bonthatunk fel az azok hátterében álló tényezők ceteris paribus, valamint interakciós hatására. Ezt a dekompozíciós képletet Biewen [2014] javasolta. A jelentőségét abban látta, hogy - szemben az empirikus dekompozíciós irodalom néhány ágával - az ő megközelítése nem hagyja figyelmen kívül az interakciós tagokat. Az empirikus dekompozíciós irodalom azon ága is példa az interakciós tag gyakori kihagyására, amely aggregált szinten elemzi a párválasztási döntéseket. Ez a körülmény motiválja, hogy a tanulmány empirikus részében egy, az asszortatív házasságok irodalmában vizsgált probléma elemzésével illusztráljuk a Biewen-féle képlet alkalmazását. Az elemzést öt ország adatain végezzük el, ahol az adatok a párok iskolázottságáról szólnak. Az elemzés lehetővé teszi, hogy kvantitatív módon jellemezzünk egy közvetlenül nem megfigyelhető jelenséget, nevezetesen az iskolázottság szerinti homofíliának az egyik generációról a másikra történő megváltozását. Az interakciók figyelembevételével számolt hatások határozottan megerősítik Naszódi-Mendonça [2021] egyetlen ország - az Egyesült Államok - elemzésével kapott eredményét: a második világháborút követően volt egy olyan időszak, amikor a homofília gyengült - azaz az eltérő iskolázottságúak közötti házasságok elfogadottabbá váltak -, majd egy olyan, amelyet éppen az ellenkező irányú trend jellemzett. Ezt az eredményt azonban csak a dekompozíciós képlet gondos megválasztása mellett kapjuk robusztus formában.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: C02, D63, J12, I24.

Suggested Citation

  • Naszódi, Anna, 2022. "Hogyan szálazzuk szét a megfigyelhető változások okait? [Decomposing observable changes into their causes]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1407-1432.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:2087
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2022.11.1407
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Biewen, Martin, 2012. "Additive Decompositions with Interaction Effects," IZA Discussion Papers 6730, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. DiNardo, John & Fortin, Nicole M & Lemieux, Thomas, 1996. "Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages, 1973-1992: A Semiparametric Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(5), pages 1001-1044, September.
    3. Oaxaca, Ronald, 1973. "Male-Female Wage Differentials in Urban Labor Markets," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 14(3), pages 693-709, October.
    4. Alan S. Blinder, 1973. "Wage Discrimination: Reduced Form and Structural Estimates," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 8(4), pages 436-455.
    5. Anthony Shorrocks, 2013. "Decomposition procedures for distributional analysis: a unified framework based on the Shapley value," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 11(1), pages 99-126, March.
    6. Becker, Gary S, 1973. "A Theory of Marriage: Part I," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(4), pages 813-846, July-Aug..
    7. Liu, Haoming & Lu, Jingfeng, 2006. "Measuring the degree of assortative mating," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(3), pages 317-322, September.
    8. Arnaud Dupuy & Simon Weber, 2022. "Marriage Market Counterfactuals Using Matching Models," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 89(353), pages 29-43, January.
    9. Martin Biewen, 2014. "A general decomposition formula with interaction effects," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(9), pages 636-642, June.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement
    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • I24 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Inequality

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