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Expiration day effects and market manipulation: evidence from Taiwan

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  • Edward Chow
  • Chung-Wen Hung
  • Christine Liu
  • Cheng-Yi Shiu

Abstract

In this study, we analyze the expiration day effects of index futures on the cash market in Taiwan, and find that both volatility and trading volume are higher on the final settlement days than on other trading days. We also calculate the volume of open interest for the final settlement of index futures contracts relating to different classes of traders, as well as the profits they earn from their open interest positions. We find that proprietary traders exhibit superior performance whereas foreign investors achieve the worst returns. Our empirical results support the view that the expiration day effects in the Taiwan futures market are at least partially attributable to attempts at ‘marking the close’. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Edward Chow & Chung-Wen Hung & Christine Liu & Cheng-Yi Shiu, 2013. "Expiration day effects and market manipulation: evidence from Taiwan," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 441-462, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:41:y:2013:i:3:p:441-462
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-012-0314-z
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    Cited by:

    1. Shvimer, Yossi & Herbon, Avi, 2020. "Comparative empirical study of binomial call-option pricing methods using S&P 500 index data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    2. Henryk Gurgul & Milena Suliga, 2020. "Impact of futures expiration on underlying stocks: intraday analysis for Warsaw Stock Exchange," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 28(3), pages 869-904, September.
    3. Yu Huang & Yao Cheng, 2015. "Stock manipulation and its effects: pump and dump versus stabilization," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 791-815, May.
    4. Wei‐Yu Kuo & Ching‐Ting Lin, 2018. "Trader types and fleeting orders: Evidence from Taiwan Futures Exchange," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1443-1469, December.
    5. Hsu, Chih-Hsiang & Lee, Hsiu-Chuan, 2014. "Insider trading and information revelation with the introduction of futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 173-182.
    6. Jia Zhai & Yi Cao & Xuemei Ding, 2018. "Data analytic approach for manipulation detection in stock market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 897-932, April.
    7. Yu Chuan Huang & Shu Hui Chan, 2014. "The Trading Behavior of Attention Securities with Different Closing Mechanisms: Evidence from Taiwan," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(04), pages 1-16.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Expiration effects; Open interest; Final settlement price; Manipulation; G14; G15;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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