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The Tax-Spend Debate: Time Series Evidence from State Budgets

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  • Payne, James E

Abstract

This paper examines the temporal relationship between revenues and expenditures for the forty-eight contiguous states over an annual period 1942 to 1992. Using an error-correction model, the author finds that the tax-spend hypothesis is supported for twenty-four states. The spend-tax hypothesis is valid for eight states while the fiscal synchronization hypothesis is supported for eleven states. The remaining five states failed the diagnostic tests for error-correction modeling. Copyright 1998 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Springer in its journal Public Choice.

Volume (Year): 95 (1998)
Issue (Month): 3-4 (June)
Pages: 307-20

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Handle: RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:95:y:1998:i:3-4:p:307-20

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100332

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Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Do More Revenues Lead to More or Less Spending?
    by Matt Mitchell in Neighborhood Effects on 2011-08-05 17:33:12
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
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Cited by:
  1. António Afonso & Christophe Rault, 2009. "Spend-and-tax: A Panel Data Investigation for the EU," CESifo Working Paper Series 2705, CESifo Group Munich.
  2. Bernasconi, Michele & Kirchkamp, Oliver & Paruolo, Paolo, 2004. "Do fiscal variables affect fiscal expectations? Experiments with real world and lab data," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-27, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
  3. Westerlund, Joakim & Mahdavi, Saeid & Firoozi, Fathali, 2011. "The tax-spending nexus: Evidence from a panel of US state-local governments," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 885-890, May.
  4. Tahir Sadiq, 2010. "The Causality between Revenues and Expenditure of the Federal and Provincial Governments of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 651–662.
  5. Bertocco Giancarlo & Fanelli Luca & Paruolo Paolo, 2002. "On the determinants of inflation in Italy: evidence of cost-push effects before the European Monetary Union," Economics and Quantitative Methods qf0223, Department of Economics, University of Insubria.
  6. António Afonso & Christophe Rault, 2009. "Bootstrap panel Granger-causality between government spending and revenue in the EU," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp944, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  7. Douglas Noonan, 2007. "Fiscal pressures, institutional context, and constituents: a dynamic model of states’ arts agency appropriations," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 293-310, December.
  8. Denilson Torcate Lopes & André Rebelo & Cleomar Gomes da Silva, 2008. "Arrecadar e Gastar ou Gastar e Arrecadar? Evidências para o Caso Brasileiro," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807151811030, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  9. Francisco de Castro & José M. González-Páramo & Pablo Hernández de Cos, 2001. "Evaluating the dynamics of fiscal policy in Spain: patterns of interdependence and consistency of public expenditure and revenues," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 0103, Banco de Espa�a.

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