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An application of the Black–Litterman model with EGARCH-M-derived views for international portfolio management

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Steven Beach ()
Alexei Orlov

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Abstract

This paper provides an application of the Black–Litterman methodology to portfolio management in a global setting. The novel feature of this paper relative to the extant literature on Black–Litterman methodology is that we use GARCH-derived views as an input into the Black–Litterman model. The returns on our portfolio surpass those of portfolios that rely on market equilibrium weights or Markowitz-optimal allocations. We thereby illustrate how the Black–Litterman model can be put to work in designing global investment strategies. Copyright Swiss Society for Financial Market Research 2007

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11408-007-0046-6
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Financial Markets and Portfolio Management.

Volume (Year): 21 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 147-166
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Handle: RePEc:kap:fmktpm:v:21:y:2007:i:2:p:147-166

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=119763

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Related research
Keywords: Black–Litterman; GARCH; Global portfolio management; G11; G15;

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  2. Black, Fischer, 1990. " Equilibrium Exchange Rate Hedging," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(3), pages 899-907, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Kristin J. Forbes & Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2223-2261, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R., 1997. "Emerging equity market volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 29-77, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-70, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Bollerslev, Tim & Chou, Ray Y. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1992. "ARCH modeling in finance : A review of the theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 5-59. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Ferson, Wayne E. & Harvey, Campbell R., 1994. "Sources of risk and expected returns in global equity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 775-803, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Manuel Ammann & Michael Verhofen, 2006. "The Effect of Market Regimes on Style Allocation," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 309-337, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Ser-Huang Poon & Clive W. J. Granger, 2003. "Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 41(2), pages 478-539, June.
  10. Robert Engle, 2001. "GARCH 101: The Use of ARCH/GARCH Models in Applied Econometrics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 157-168, Fall. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Harvey, Campbell R, 1995. "The Risk Exposure of Emerging Equity Markets," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 19-50, January.
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