Domestic Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union: What are the Spillovers?
AbstractThis paper examines the spillovers of domestic fiscal expansion in a monetary union. Such a policy action leads to cross-country crowding-out effects on the one hand and cross-country multiplier effects on the other. The overall effect is indeterminate a priori. The approach pursued is therefore an empirical one, using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with a simple representation of the money market. Three groups of parameters are identified as key determinants of the fiscal policy spillover: the elasticities of substitution in foreign trade (being a measure of the degree of trade integration), the interest elasticity of money demand, and the elasticity of wages with respect to the employment situation. For a reasonable range of parameter configurations, the interest rate effect always dominates the multiplier effect. Especially, even with a degree of trade integration four times as high as commonly assumed the overall spillover is (slightly) negative.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Department of Statistics and Economics in its journal Journal of Economics and Statistics.
Volume (Year): 220 (2000)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
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Monetary union; fiscal policy; international spillovers; computable general equilibrium;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
- F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
- D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
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"One Money, But Many Fiscal Policies in Europe: What are the Consequences?,"
2002-32, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Uhlig, Harald, 2002. "One Money, but Many Fiscal Policies in Europe: What Are the Consequences?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3296, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Luigi Bonatti & Annalisa Cristini, 2007.
"Breaking the stability pact: was it predictable?,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
0714, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia.
- Buchmüller, Patrik & Marte, Andreas, 2003. "Paradigmenwechsel der EU-Finanzpolitik? Der Stabilitätspakt auf dem Prüfstand," TÃ¼binger DiskussionsbeitrÃ¤ge 267, University of Tübingen, School of Business and Economics.
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