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Risk-Constrained Dynamic Active Portfolio Management

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  • Sid Browne

    (Goldman, Sachs and Company, Firmwide Risk Management, 10 Hanover Square, New York, New York 10005, and Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027)

Abstract

Active portfolio management is concerned with objectives related to the outperformance of the return of a target benchmark portfolio. In this paper, we consider a dynamic active portfolio management problem where the objective is related to the tradeoff between the achievement of performance goals and the risk of a shortfall. Specifically, we consider an objective that relates the probability of achieving a given performance objective to the time it takes to achieve the objective. This allows a new direct quantitative analysis of the risk/return tradeoff, with risk defined directly in terms of probability of shortfall relative to the benchmark, and return defined in terms of the expected time to reach investment goals relative to the benchmark. The resulting optimal policy is a state-dependent policy that provides new insights. As a special case, our analysis includes the case where the investor wants to minimize the expected time until a given performance goal is reached subject to a constraint on the shortfall probability.

Suggested Citation

  • Sid Browne, 2000. "Risk-Constrained Dynamic Active Portfolio Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(9), pages 1188-1199, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:46:y:2000:i:9:p:1188-1199
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.46.9.1188.12233
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Browne, S., 1995. "Optimal Investment Policies for a Firm with a Random Risk Process: Exponential Utility and Minimizing the Probability of Ruin," Papers 95-08, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
    2. Victor C. Pestien & William D. Sudderth, 1985. "Continuous-Time Red and Black: How to Control a Diffusion to a Goal," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 10(4), pages 599-611, November.
    3. Merton, Robert C., 1971. "Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 373-413, December.
    4. Sid Browne, 1995. "Optimal Investment Policies for a Firm With a Random Risk Process: Exponential Utility and Minimizing the Probability of Ruin," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 20(4), pages 937-958, November.
    5. Sid Browne, 1997. "Survival and Growth with a Liability: Optimal Portfolio Strategies in Continuous Time," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 22(2), pages 468-493, May.
    6. Black, Fischer & Perold, AndreF., 1992. "Theory of constant proportion portfolio insurance," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 16(3-4), pages 403-426.
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