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2016 U.S. Presidential Election and Stock Markets in China

Author

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  • SingRu Hoe
  • Srinivas Nippani

Abstract

This study seeks to address the question if the 2016 U.S. Presidential election and Mr. Donald Trump¡¯s path to U.S. presidency affected the stock market returns in China. We do not find conclusive results from three leading stock indices of China, SHCOMP, SZCOMP, and SHSZ300. There is an immediate impact shown in SHSZ300, but not in SHCOMP and SZCOMP. We ascribe this to the impact of less sophisticated investors who dominate the stock market in China and also to that country¡¯s censorship of the media wherein the government could effectively either block or downplay the unfavorable information.

Suggested Citation

  • SingRu Hoe & Srinivas Nippani, 2017. "2016 U.S. Presidential Election and Stock Markets in China," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(7), pages 32-38, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:9:y:2017:i:7:p:32-38
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Stephen R Foerster & John J Schmitz, 1997. "The Transmission of U.S. Election Cycles to International Stock Returns," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 28(1), pages 1-27, March.
    3. John Goodell & Richard Bodey, 2012. "Price-earnings changes during US presidential election cycles: voter uncertainty and other determinants," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 150(3), pages 633-650, March.
    4. Srinivas Nippani & Augustine Arize, 2005. "U.S. Presidential election impact on Canadian and Mexican stock markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 29(2), pages 271-279, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    presidential election; campaign promise; stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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