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The Overnight Return Temporal Market Anomaly

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  • Vasiliki A. Basdekidou

Abstract

The main goal of this paper is to introduce an innovative market anomaly relating to ¡°time¡± during the overnight post-market session and therefore characterized as a temporal market anomaly. Anomalies in the markets appear from time to time and test the efficient market hypothesis. Many investors and traders believe that the markets follow the efficient market hypothesis. According to this theory the current price of a security (trading instrument) reflects all public and private information about that security (instrument). Changes in price are due to insider information, current news, or sudden events, which are impossible to predict. Hence, security¡¯s price action follows the path of a random walk, the hypothesis and argument of which states that current price is not dependent on past price and is normally or abnormally distributed over time. In financial and economical literature, many studies have presented approaches about what the academics call ¡°market anomalies¡± and according to literature the anomalies are classified in three categories: Fundamental, Technical, and Calendar-based anomalies. In this article another class of market anomalies is introduced, that simply could be referred to as ¡°temporal¡± because of the timing functionality involved. Finally, I will discuss one of these ¡°temporal¡± anomalies, called the overnight return temporal market anomaly. The presented research shows that momentum profit accumulates entirely overnight, while profit on all other strategies occurs entirely intraday. These findings strongly reject classical theories of intraday versus overnight returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasiliki A. Basdekidou, 2017. "The Overnight Return Temporal Market Anomaly," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(3), pages 1-10, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:9:y:2017:i:3:p:1-10
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Malcolm Baker & Jeremy C. Stein & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2003. "When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 118(3), pages 969-1005.
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    3. Bali, Turan G. & Cakici, Nusret, 2008. "Idiosyncratic Volatility and the Cross Section of Expected Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 43(1), pages 29-58, March.
    4. Michael J. Barclay, 2003. "Price Discovery and Trading After Hours," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 16(4), pages 1041-1073.
    5. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2002. "Market Timing and Capital Structure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(1), pages 1-32, February.
    6. Altı, Aydoğan & Sulaeman, Johan, 2012. "When do high stock returns trigger equity issues?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1), pages 61-87.
    7. De Cesari, Amedeo & Espenlaub, Susanne & Khurshed, Arif & Simkovic, Michael, 2012. "The effects of ownership and stock liquidity on the timing of repurchase transactions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 1023-1050.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vasiliki A. Basdekidou, 2017. "The Leveraged ETF Inefficiency in Trending & Range-Bound Markets: An Application Case Study for a 3x Leveraged Gold Miners ETF," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(7), pages 1-13, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    market anomalies; liquidity; market timing; temporal (timing) trading functionalities (TTF); temporal market anomalies; intraday vs. overnight returns;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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