IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibn/ijefaa/v8y2016i12p238-249.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Climate Variability and Agricultural Loan Delinquency in the US

Author

Listed:
  • Denis Nadolnyak
  • Valentina Hartarska
  • Xuan Shen

Abstract

Inter-annual climate variability in the Southeastern US that affects farm productivity and cash flows is largely dependent on the predictable El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. In this paper, we estimate the association between the ENSO anomalies and the performance of agricultural loan portfolios of the Farm Credit System (FCS) institutions - the largest agricultural lender in this region. We find that, compared to neutral years, the share of delinquent loans in the FCS portfolio decreases by 1.5 to 2 percentage points following La Nina years and increases by 1.5 to 2 percentage points following El Nino years. These delinquencies are generally resolved because the impact on loan write-offs is much smaller, although statistically significant which suggests that the FCS institutions have well-diversified portfolios. The results also suggest that agricultural insurance markets are complementary to credit markets, that land values at loan origination have a positive impact on delinquencies, and that loan write-offs decrease with the lender¡¯s size.

Suggested Citation

  • Denis Nadolnyak & Valentina Hartarska & Xuan Shen, 2016. "Climate Variability and Agricultural Loan Delinquency in the US," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(12), pages 238-249, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:8:y:2016:i:12:p:238-249
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/64004/35047
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/64004
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wolfram Schlenker & Michael J. Roberts & David B. Lobell, 2013. "US maize adaptability," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(8), pages 690-691, August.
    2. Anthony C. Fisher & W. Michael Hanemann & Michael J. Roberts & Wolfram Schlenker, 2012. "The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(7), pages 3749-3760, December.
    3. Claudio Gonzalez-Vega & Valentina Hartarska, 2005. "Credit counseling and mortgage termination by low-income households," Proceedings 963, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    4. Hartarska, Valentina & Gonzalez-Vega, Claudio, 2006. "Evidence on the effect of credit counseling on mortgage loan default by low-income households," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 63-79, March.
    5. Valentina Hartarska & Claudio Gonzalez-Vega, 2005. "Credit Counseling and Mortgage Termination by Low-Income Households," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 227-243, April.
    6. Matthew E. Kahn, 2005. "The Death Toll from Natural Disasters: The Role of Income, Geography, and Institutions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(2), pages 271-284, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Frederick Murdoch Quaye & Denis Nadolnyak & Valentina Hartarska, 2017. "Factors Affecting Farm Loan Delinquency in the Southeast," Research in Applied Economics, Macrothink Institute, vol. 9(4), pages 75-92, December.
    2. Bretford Griffin & Valentina Hartarska & Denis Nadolnyak, 2019. "Retirement Age Farmers¡¯ Exit and Disinvestment from Farming," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(12), pages 136-136, December.
    3. Denis Nadolnyak & Valentina Hartarska & Bretford Griffin, 2019. "The Impacts of Economic, Demographic, and Weather Factors on the Exit of Beginning Farmers in the United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-17, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tim Kaiser & Lukas Menkhoff, 2017. "Does Financial Education Impact Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior, and If So, When?," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 31(3), pages 611-630.
    2. Margaret Miller & Julia Reichelstein & Christian Salas & Bilal Zia, 2015. "Can You Help Someone Become Financially Capable? A Meta-Analysis of the Literature," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 30(2), pages 220-246.
    3. John M. Barron & Michael E. Staten, 2011. "Is technology-enhanced credit counseling as effective as in-person delivery?," Working Papers 11-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    4. Charles Sims & Sarah E. Null & Josue Medellin-Azuara & Augustina Odame, 2021. "Hurry Up Or Wait: Are Private Investments In Climate Change Adaptation Delayed?," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-36, November.
    5. Holtermann, Linus & Rische, Marie-Christin, 2020. "The Subnational Effect of Temperature on Economic Production: A Disaggregated Analysis in European Regions," MPRA Paper 104606, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Ferreira, Susana, 2024. "Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change: Economic Impacts and Adaptation Policies," IZA Discussion Papers 16715, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    7. Tatyana Deryugina & Solomon M. Hsiang, 2014. "Does the Environment Still Matter? Daily Temperature and Income in the United States," NBER Working Papers 20750, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Kahn, Matthew E., 2015. "Climate Change Adaptation: Lessons from Urban Economics," Strategic Behavior and the Environment, now publishers, vol. 5(1), pages 1-30, June.
    9. Theodos, Brett & Stacy, Christina Plerhoples & Daniels, Rebecca, 2018. "Client led coaching: A random assignment evaluation of the impacts of financial coaching programs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 140-158.
    10. Shen, Chung-Hua & Lin, Shih-Jie & Tang, De-Piao & Hsiao, Yu-Jen, 2016. "The relationship between financial disputes and financial literacy," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 46-65.
    11. Newell, Richard G. & Prest, Brian C. & Sexton, Steven E., 2021. "The GDP-Temperature relationship: Implications for climate change damages," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    12. Thomas Steinwachs, 2019. "Geography Matters: Spatial Dimensions of Trade, Migration and Growth," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 81.
    13. Matthew Martin, 2007. "A literature review on the effectiveness of financial education," Working Paper 07-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    14. Entorf, Horst & Hou, Jia, 2018. "Financial education for the disadvantaged? A review," SAFE Working Paper Series 205, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    15. Maximilian Auffhammer & Solomon M. Hsiang & Wolfram Schlenker & Adam Sobel, 2013. "Using Weather Data and Climate Model Output in Economic Analyses of Climate Change," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 7(2), pages 181-198, July.
    16. Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, 2021. "Climate, Agriculture and Food," Papers 2105.12044, arXiv.org.
    17. Lin, Chaonan & Hsiao, Yu-Jen & Yeh, Cheng-Yung, 2017. "Financial literacy, financial advisors, and information sources on demand for life insurance," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 218-237.
    18. Leah Platt Boustan & Matthew E. Kahn & Paul W. Rhode, 2012. "Moving to Higher Ground: Migration Response to Natural Disasters in the Early Twentieth Century," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(3), pages 238-244, May.
    19. Cécile Couharde & Rémi Generoso, 2015. "Hydro-climatic thresholds and economic growth reversals in developing countries: an empirical investigation," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-26, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    20. van Bergeijk, P.A.G. & Lazzaroni, S., 2013. "Macroeconomics of natural disasters," ISS Working Papers - General Series 50075, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    loan delinquency and default; farm credit system; climate variability and climate change; ENSO; farm debt; Southeastern USA;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:8:y:2016:i:12:p:238-249. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Canadian Center of Science and Education (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.