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Determinants Of Non-Performing Loans In Nigeria

Author

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  • Olayinka Akinlo
  • Mofoluwaso Emmanuel

Abstract

Credit risk assessment is a major component of macro prudential analysis, with the aggregate nonperforming loan ratio serving as a proxy for the economy-wide probability of default of the banking sector’s overall loan exposure. Consequently, the factors that drive non-performing loans become pertinent. This study provides a macroeconomic model for non-performing loans for Nigeria. Our empirical analysis confirms that in the long run, economic growth is negatively related to non-performing loan. On the other hand, unemployment, credit to the private sector and exchange rate exerts positive influence on nonperforming loans in Nigeria. In the short run, credits to the private sector, exchange rate, lending rate and stock market index are the main determinants of non-performing loans.

Suggested Citation

  • Olayinka Akinlo & Mofoluwaso Emmanuel, 2014. "Determinants Of Non-Performing Loans In Nigeria," Accounting & Taxation, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(2), pages 21-28.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibf:acttax:v:6:y:2014:i:2:p:21-28
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Amjad Qwader, 2019. "Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and their Impact on Non-Performing Loans in Jordanian Banks," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(2), pages 166-175, February.
    4. Amna Sana & Mohammad Fayaz & Rahman Ullah, 2019. "Linking Non-Performing Loans with Organizational Performance: Evidence from Banking Sector of Pakistan," Global Economics Review, Humanity Only, vol. 4(4), pages 35-44, December.
    5. Saom Shawleen Anita & Nishat Tasnova & Nousheen Nawar, 2022. "Are non-performing loans sensitive to macroeconomic determinants? an empirical evidence from banking sector of SAARC countries," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-16, December.
    6. Maria Afreen, 2020. "Analysing the Return on Asset to Construct Foretelling Indicator for Bangladeshi Banking Sector," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 9(4), pages 11-22, October.
    7. Pami Dua & Hema Kapur, 2017. "Macro Stress Testing of Indian Bank Groups," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 11(4), pages 375-403, November.
    8. Isma il Tijjani Idris & Sabri Nayan, 2017. "A Pooled Mean Group Approach to the Joint Effects of Oil Price Changes and Environmental Risks on Non-Performing Loans: Evidence from Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting the Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 345-351.
    9. Ismail Tijjani Idris & Sabri Nayan, 2016. "The Moderating Role of Loan Monitoring on the Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Non-performing Loans in Association of Southeast Asian Nations Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 402-408.
    10. Dua, Pami & Kapur, Hema, 2018. "Macro stress testing and resilience assessment of Indian banking," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 452-475.
    11. Ptasica Tatjana, 2019. "Modeling the influence of inflation on the level of non-performing loans in Cyprus commercial banks," Technology audit and production reserves, 1(45) 2019, Socionet;Technology audit and production reserves, vol. 1(5(45)), pages 36-38.
    12. Ismail Tijjani Idris & Sabri Nayan, 2016. "The Joint Effects of Oil Price Volatility and Environmental Risks on Non-performing Loans: Evidence from Panel Data of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 522-528.
    13. Koju Laxmi & Wang Shouyang & Abbas Ghulam, 2018. "Do Macroeconomic Determinants of Non-Performing Loans Vary with the Income Levels of Countries?," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 6(6), pages 512-531, December.
    14. Atoi, Ngozi Victor, 2018. "Non-performing Loan and its Effects on Banking Stability: Evidence from National and International Licensed Banks in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 99709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Atiti, Faith & Kimani, Stephanie & Agung, Raphael, 2022. "Macroeconomic shocks and cedit risk in the Kenyan banking sector," KBA Centre for Research on Financial Markets and Policy Working Paper Series 58, Kenya Bankers Association (KBA).
    16. Christos Christodoulou-Volos & Andreas Hadjixenophontos, 2017. "Empirical Determinants of the Non-Performing Loans in the Cypriot Banking System," Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 6(4), pages 1-1.
    17. Luqman Hakim & Martono Martono, 2019. "Fundamental Role of Macro and Microeconomics to Profitability and the Implications on Stock Return: Evidence from Banking Companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(6), pages 84-93.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Determinants; Non-Performing Loans; Error Correction Model; Nigeria;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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