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La vivienda y la reforma fiscal de 1998: un ejercicio de simulación

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  • Miguel-Angel López García

    (Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona)

Abstract

IEn este trabajo se discuten las consecuencias que puede tener la reforma del Impuesto sobre la Renta de las Personas Físicas de 1998 sobre los precios reales de la vivienda y el stock de capital residencial (bajo la forma de tenencia en propiedad). El énfasis se coloca en los efectos a largo plazo. Para ello se especifica, parametriza y calibra un modelo de vivienda agregado que reproduce las disposiciones fiscales antes y después del cambio impositivo. Las simulaciones realizadas sugieren que es probable que el «efecto precio» de la reforma acabe predominando sobre el «efecto renta», dando lugar a una reducción tanto en el precio real como en el stock. Los resultados son robustos frente a variaciones de algunos parámetros clave (en particular de la elasticidad-precio de la inversión residencial). No obstante, las cifras involucradas son pequeñas.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by IEF in its journal Hacienda Pública Española/Revista de Economía Pública.

Volume (Year): 175 (2005)
Issue (Month): 4 (december)
Pages: 123-147

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Handle: RePEc:hpe:journl:y:2005:v:175:i:4:p:123-147

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Related research

Keywords: subsidios a la vivienda; reforma fiscal; modelos de simulación.;

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  1. José María Arranz & Carlos García-Serrano, . "¿Qué Ha Sucedido Con La Estabilidad Del Empleo En España?. Un Análisis Desagregado Con Datos De La Epa: 1987-2003(*)," Working Papers 4-04 Classification-JEL :, Instituto de Estudios Fiscales.
  2. Miguel-Angel López García, 2005. "La vivienda y la reforma fiscal de 1998: un ejercicio de simulación," Hacienda Pública Española, IEF, vol. 175(4), pages 123-147, december.
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