IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gei/jnlfer/v1y2016i2p134-146.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Monetary Policy on Private Investment: Evidence from Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Saleem

    (IQRA University)

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of real discount rate, government investment and foreign direct investment on private investment in Pakistan by using annual time series data over the period of 1975-2015. The research used Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root test, Johansen and Juuselieus's co-integration technique, Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing model, Error Correction Model (ECM) and Causality Analysis to analyze the relationship. Results of ECM and cointegration analysis suggest that a significant negative short and long run relationship exists between private investment and real discounted rate of return. Whereas, causality analysis confirms the unidirectional causality exists between real discounted rate of return and private investment. It is recommended that government and monetary institution of Pakistan has to be very clear and careful while formulation monetary policy, especially with reference to enhance the private investment in the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Saleem, 2016. "Impact of Monetary Policy on Private Investment: Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(2), pages 134-146, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gei:jnlfer:v:1:y:2016:i:2:p:134-146
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://geistscience.com/JFER/Issue2-16/Article1/JFER1601205.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol & Smith, Richard J., 2000. "Structural analysis of vector error correction models with exogenous I(1) variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 293-343, August.
    2. Abdul, waheed & Syed tehseen, jawaid, 2010. "Inward foreign direct investment and aggregate imports: time series evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 31270, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Thurai Murugan Nathan, Venus Khim-Sen Liew, Wing-Keung Wong & Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Wing-Keung Wong, 2016. "Disaggregated Energy Consumption and Sectoral Outputs in Thailand: ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Journal of Management Sciences, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 3(1), pages 39-51, March.
    4. Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Syed Ali Raza & Khalid Mustafa & Mohd Zaini Abd Karim, 2016. "Does Inward Foreign Direct Investment Lead Export Performance in Pakistan?," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 17(6), pages 1296-1313, December.
    5. Nida Shah, 2016. "The Impact of Working Capital Management on Firms Profitability in Different Business Cycles: Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(1), pages 58-70, March.
    6. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    7. Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Syed Ali Raza, 2012. "Workers' remittances and economic growth in China and Korea: an empirical analysis," Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(3), pages 185-193, September.
    8. Pritha Mitra, 2006. "Has Government Investment Crowded Out Private Investment in India?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(2), pages 337-341, May.
    9. Arshian Sharif, Syed Ali Raza, 2016. "Dynamic Relationship between Urbanization, Energy Consumption and Environmental Degradation in Pakistan: Evidence from Structure Break Testing," Journal of Management Sciences, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 3(1), pages 01-21, March.
    10. Jawaid, Syed Tehseen & Raza, Syed Ali, 2013. "Effects of terms of trade on growth performance of India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 940-946.
    11. Syed Tehseen Jawaid, 2014. "Trade Openness and Economic Growth," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 49(2), pages 193-212, May.
    12. Jawaid, Syed Tehseen & Raza, Syed Ali, 2012. "Workers’ Remittances and Economic Growth in South Asia," MPRA Paper 39001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Alfred A. Haug, 2002. "Temporal Aggregation and the Power of Cointegration Tests: a Monte Carlo Study," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 64(4), pages 399-412, September.
    14. repec:eme:jcefts:v:5:y:2012:i:3:pp:185-193 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Arif, Imtiaz & Suleman, Tahir, 2014. "Terrorism and Stock Market Linkages: An Empirical Study from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 58918, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. A. F. M. Kamrul Hassan & Ruhul A. Salim, 2011. "Determinants of Private Investment: Time Series Evidence from Bangladesh," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 45(1), pages 229-249, July-Dece.
    17. Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Shujaat Abbas & Shaikh Muhammad Saleem, 2017. "Democracy and international financial integration in Pakistan," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(1), pages 16-31, April.
    18. Abbas Valadkhani, 2004. "What determines private investment in Iran?," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 31(5/6), pages 457-468, May.
    19. Imtiaz Arif & Tahir Suleman, 2017. "Terrorism and Stock Market Linkages: An Empirical Study from a Front-line State," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(2), pages 365-378, April.
    20. Syed Tehseen JAWAID & Anwar Ul HAQ, 2012. "Effects of interest rate, exchange rate and their volatilities on stock prices: evidence from banking industry of Pakistan," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(8(573)), pages 153-166, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sajid Ali, 2016. "How does Interest rate effect Exchange rate of Pakistan. Evidence of ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(2), pages 119-133, October.
    2. Arshian Sharif, Sahar Afshan, 2016. "Tourism Development and Real Effective Exchange Rate Revisited by Wavelet based Analysis: Evidence from France," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(2), pages 101-118, October.
    3. Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Syed Ali Raza & Khalid Mustafa & Mohd Zaini Abd Karim, 2016. "Does Inward Foreign Direct Investment Lead Export Performance in Pakistan?," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 17(6), pages 1296-1313, December.
    4. Syed Ali Raza & Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Mohammad Haris Siddiqui, 2016. "Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in South Asia," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 17(2), pages 200-215, September.
    5. Shaikh Muhammad Saleem, 2017. "Does International Financial Integration Spur Economic Growth? Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Management Sciences, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 4(1), pages 116-130, March.
    6. Syed Tehseen Jawaid, 2014. "Trade Openness and Economic Growth," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 49(2), pages 193-212, May.
    7. Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Abdul Waheed, 2017. "Contribution of International Trade in Human Development of Pakistan," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(5), pages 1155-1177, October.
    8. repec:gei:journl:v:4:y:2017:i:1:p:136-150 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Jawaid, Syed Tehseen & Raza, Syed Ali, 2013. "Effects of terms of trade on growth performance of India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 940-946.
    10. Wasim Qazi & Syed Raza & Syed Jawaid, 2014. "Higher education and growth performance of Pakistan: evidence from multivariate framework," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 1651-1665, May.
    11. Syed Ali Raza, 2015. "Foreign direct investment, workers’ remittances and private saving in Pakistan: an ARDL bound testing approach," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 1216-1234, December.
    12. Muhammad Shahbaz & Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye & Muhammad Shahbaz Shabbir, 2013. "Does Corruption Increase Financial Development? A Time Series Analysis in Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 1(10), pages 113-124, October.
    13. Zaid Ashiq Khan & Mansoor Ahmed Koondhar & Noshaba Aziz & Uzair Ali & Liu Tianjun, 2020. "Revisiting the effects of relevant factors on Pakistan's agricultural products export," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 66(12), pages 527-541.
    14. Muhammad Shahbaz & Mete Feridun, 2012. "Electricity consumption and economic growth empirical evidence from Pakistan," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 46(5), pages 1583-1599, August.
    15. Syed Ali Raza & Sahar Afshan, 2017. "Determinants of Exchange Rate in Pakistan: Revisited with Structural Break Testing," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(4), pages 825-848, August.
    16. Muhammad Shahbaz & Talat Afza & Muhammad Shahbaz Shabbir, 2013. "Financial Development, Domestic Savings and Poverty Reduction in Pakistan: Using Cointegration and Granger Causality Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 1(5), pages 59-73, May.
    17. Faridul, Islam & Muhammad, Shahbaz, 2012. "Is There an Environmental Kuznets Curve for Bangladesh?," MPRA Paper 38490, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Apr 2012.
    18. Micheal Kofi Boachie & Martin Ruzima & Mustapha Immurana, 2020. "The Concurrent Effect of Financial Development and Trade Openness on Private Investment in India," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(2), pages 190-220, December.
    19. Wasim Qazi & Syed Ali Raza & Arshian Sharif, 2017. "Higher Education Development and Unemployment in Pakistan: Evidence from Structural Break Testing," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(5), pages 1089-1110, October.
    20. Raza, Syed Ali & Jawaid, Syed Tehseen, 2013. "Terrorism and tourism: A conjunction and ramification in Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 65-70.
    21. Muhammad SHAHBAZ & Smile DUBE, 2012. "Revisiting the Relationship between Coal Consumption and Economic Growth: Cointegration and Causality Analysis in Pakistan," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 12(1).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gei:jnlfer:v:1:y:2016:i:2:p:134-146. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Imtiaz ARIF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://geistscience.com/JFER/index.php .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.