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Water Shortage Simulation Using a System Dynamics Approach: A Case Study of the Rafsanjan City

Author

Listed:
  • Nasser Shahsavari-Pour

    (Department of Industrial Management, Vali-e-Asr University of Rafsanjan, Rafsanjan 7718897111, Iran)

  • Sadegh Bahador

    (Department of Management, Vali-e-Asr University of Rafsanjan, Rafsanjan 7718897111, Iran)

  • Azim Heydari

    (Department of Astronautical, Electrical and Energy Engineering (DIAEE), Sapienza University of Rome, 00184 Rome, Italy)

  • Afef Fekih

    (Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Louisiana at Lafayette, Lafayette, LA 70504, USA)

Abstract

Water shortage and its interconnected and integrated management is one of the life crises in recent years. Factors such as population growth, plurality of population needs, traditional farming methods, climate change, and water waste are among the contributing factors to this crisis. The complexity of water sources and consumption systems makes the management and decision-making related to this resource very difficult. This research aims to study the effective factors in the water sources and consumption system of Rafsanjan city and suggests a simulated model of water shortage and its causes. In this research, water shortage crises were simulated using system dynamics. Important variables of the water shortage crisis are identified and optimized using the Design of Experiments (DOE) method. Vensim software was considered to illustrate the simulations of five scenarios aiming at better managing water resources and dealing with the water shortage crisis in this city.

Suggested Citation

  • Nasser Shahsavari-Pour & Sadegh Bahador & Azim Heydari & Afef Fekih, 2023. "Water Shortage Simulation Using a System Dynamics Approach: A Case Study of the Rafsanjan City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-19, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:7:p:6225-:d:1116063
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Benjamin L. Turner & Hector M. Menendez & Roger Gates & Luis O. Tedeschi & Alberto S. Atzori, 2016. "System Dynamics Modeling for Agricultural and Natural Resource Management Issues: Review of Some Past Cases and Forecasting Future Roles," Resources, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-24, November.
    2. Wei, Shouke & Yang, Hong & Song, Jinxi & Abbaspour, Karim C. & Xu, Zongxue, 2012. "System dynamics simulation model for assessing socio-economic impacts of different levels of environmental flow allocation in the Weihe River Basin, China," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 248-262.
    3. Feng, Li-Hua & Zhang, Xing-Cai & Luo, Gao-Yuan, 2008. "Application of system dynamics in analyzing the carrying capacity of water resources in Yiwu City, China," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(3), pages 269-278.
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    1. Zhihui Deng & Qingshan Ma & Jia Zhang & Qingda Feng & Zhaoxuan Niu & Guilin Zhu & Xianpeng Jin & Meijing Chen & Honghan Chen, 2023. "A New Socio-Hydrology System Based on System Dynamics and a SWAT-MODFLOW Coupling Model for Solving Water Resource Management in Nanchang City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-22, November.

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