IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i21p14663-d965990.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of Predictors on Power Consumption Estimation for IT Rack in a Data Center: An Experimental Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Mehmet Türker Takcı

    (Department of Electronics Engineering, Gebze Technical University, Kocaeli 41400, Turkey)

  • Tuba Gözel

    (Department of Electronics Engineering, Gebze Technical University, Kocaeli 41400, Turkey)

Abstract

The appropriate feature/predictor selection is as significant as building efficient estimation methods for the accurate estimation of power consumption, which is required for self-awareness and autonomous decision systems. Traditional methodologies define predictors by assessing whether there is a relationship between the predictors and the response variable. Contrarily, this study determines predictors based on their individual and group impacts on the estimation accuracy directly. To analyze the impact of predictors on the power-consumption estimation of an IT rack in a data center, estimations were carried out employing each prospective predictor separately using the measured data under the real-world workload. Then, the ratio of CPU usage was set as the default predictor, and the remaining variables were assigned as the second predictor one by one. By utilizing the same approach, the best combination of predictors was determined. As a result, it was discovered that some variables with a low correlation coefficient with power consumption improved the estimation accuracy, whereas some variables with high correlation coefficients worsened the estimation result. The CPU is the most power-consuming component in the server and one of the most used predictors in the literature. However, the estimation accuracy obtained using only the CPU is 10 times worse than the estimation result conducted by utilizing the predictor set determined at the end of the experiments. This study shows that instead of choosing predictors only from one point of view or one method, it is more convenient to select predictors by assessing their influence on estimation results. Examining the trend and characteristics of the estimated variable should also be considered.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehmet Türker Takcı & Tuba Gözel, 2022. "Effects of Predictors on Power Consumption Estimation for IT Rack in a Data Center: An Experimental Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-19, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:21:p:14663-:d:965990
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/14663/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/14663/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jin, Chaoqiang & Bai, Xuelian & Yang, Chao & Mao, Wangxin & Xu, Xin, 2020. "A review of power consumption models of servers in data centers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    2. Lintao Yang & Honggeng Yang & Haitao Liu, 2018. "GMDH-Based Semi-Supervised Feature Selection for Electricity Load Classification Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, January.
    3. Salah Bouktif & Ali Fiaz & Ali Ouni & Mohamed Adel Serhani, 2018. "Optimal Deep Learning LSTM Model for Electric Load Forecasting using Feature Selection and Genetic Algorithm: Comparison with Machine Learning Approaches †," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, June.
    4. Fridgen, Gilbert & Keller, Robert & Thimmel, Markus & Wederhake, Lars, 2017. "Shifting load through space–The economics of spatial demand side management using distributed data centers," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 400-413.
    5. Lin Lin & Lin Xue & Zhiqiang Hu & Nantian Huang, 2018. "Modular Predictor for Day-Ahead Load Forecasting and Feature Selection for Different Hours," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-30, July.
    6. Xin Gao & Xiaobing Li & Bing Zhao & Weijia Ji & Xiao Jing & Yang He, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Model Based on EMD-GRU with Feature Selection," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-18, March.
    7. Songyao Wang & Zhisheng Zhang, 2021. "Short-Term Multiple Load Forecasting Model of Regional Integrated Energy System Based on QWGRU-MTL," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-13, October.
    8. Hyndman, Rob J. & Koehler, Anne B., 2006. "Another look at measures of forecast accuracy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 679-688.
    9. Adnan Yousaf & Rao Muhammad Asif & Mustafa Shakir & Ateeq Ur Rehman & Mohmmed S. Adrees, 2021. "An Improved Residential Electricity Load Forecasting Using a Machine-Learning-Based Feature Selection Approach and a Proposed Integration Strategy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-20, May.
    10. Shaoqian Pei & Hui Qin & Liqiang Yao & Yongqi Liu & Chao Wang & Jianzhong Zhou, 2020. "Multi-Step Ahead Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Hybrid Feature Selection and Improved Long Short-Term Memory Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-23, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hao Wang & Chen Peng & Bolin Liao & Xinwei Cao & Shuai Li, 2023. "Wind Power Forecasting Based on WaveNet and Multitask Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-22, July.
    2. Pinheiro, Marco G. & Madeira, Sara C. & Francisco, Alexandre P., 2023. "Short-term electricity load forecasting—A systematic approach from system level to secondary substations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 332(C).
    3. Roman V. Klyuev & Irbek D. Morgoev & Angelika D. Morgoeva & Oksana A. Gavrina & Nikita V. Martyushev & Egor A. Efremenkov & Qi Mengxu, 2022. "Methods of Forecasting Electric Energy Consumption: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-33, November.
    4. Thomas Steens & Jan-Simon Telle & Benedikt Hanke & Karsten von Maydell & Carsten Agert & Gian-Luca Di Modica & Bernd Engel & Matthias Grottke, 2021. "A Forecast-Based Load Management Approach for Commercial Buildings Demonstrated on an Integration of BEV," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-25, June.
    5. Hofmeister, Markus & Mosbach, Sebastian & Hammacher, Jörg & Blum, Martin & Röhrig, Gerd & Dörr, Christoph & Flegel, Volker & Bhave, Amit & Kraft, Markus, 2022. "Resource-optimised generation dispatch strategy for district heating systems using dynamic hierarchical optimisation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    6. Sarah Hadri & Mehdi Najib & Mohamed Bakhouya & Youssef Fakhri & Mohamed El Arroussi, 2021. "Performance Evaluation of Forecasting Strategies for Electricity Consumption in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-17, September.
    7. Kang-Min Koo & Kuk-Heon Han & Kyung-Soo Jun & Gyumin Lee & Jung-Sik Kim & Kyung-Taek Yum, 2021. "Performance Assessment for Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting Models on Distinctive Water Uses in Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, May.
    8. Fanidhar Dewangan & Almoataz Y. Abdelaziz & Monalisa Biswal, 2023. "Load Forecasting Models in Smart Grid Using Smart Meter Information: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-55, January.
    9. Fekri, Mohammad Navid & Patel, Harsh & Grolinger, Katarina & Sharma, Vinay, 2021. "Deep learning for load forecasting with smart meter data: Online Adaptive Recurrent Neural Network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
    10. Junhwa Hwang & Dongjun Suh & Marc-Oliver Otto, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Consumption in Commercial Buildings Using a Machine Learning Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-29, November.
    11. Seon Hyeog Kim & Gyul Lee & Gu-Young Kwon & Do-In Kim & Yong-June Shin, 2018. "Deep Learning Based on Multi-Decomposition for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-17, December.
    12. Paul Anton Verwiebe & Stephan Seim & Simon Burges & Lennart Schulz & Joachim Müller-Kirchenbauer, 2021. "Modeling Energy Demand—A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-58, November.
    13. repec:prg:jnlcfu:v:2022:y:2022:i:1:id:572 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Xiaoyu Gao & Chengying Qi & Guixiang Xue & Jiancai Song & Yahui Zhang & Shi-ang Yu, 2020. "Forecasting the Heat Load of Residential Buildings with Heat Metering Based on CEEMDAN-SVR," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-19, November.
    15. Peng Song & Zhisheng Zhang, 2023. "Research on Multiple Load Short-Term Forecasting Model of Integrated Energy Distribution System Based on Mogrifier-Quantum Weighted MELSTM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-13, April.
    16. Chang, Andrew C. & Hanson, Tyler J., 2016. "The accuracy of forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 23-43.
    17. Ling Tang & Chengyuan Zhang & Tingfei Li & Ling Li, 2021. "A novel BEMD-based method for forecasting tourist volume with search engine data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1015-1038, August.
    18. Hewamalage, Hansika & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bandara, Kasun, 2021. "Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 388-427.
    19. Michael Vössing & Niklas Kühl & Matteo Lind & Gerhard Satzger, 2022. "Designing Transparency for Effective Human-AI Collaboration," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 877-895, June.
    20. Frank, Johannes, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility in turbulent times using temporal fusion transformers," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 03/2023, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    21. Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Petropoulos, Fotios & Trapero, Juan R., 2014. "Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 291-302.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:21:p:14663-:d:965990. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.