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Perceived Trip Time Reliability and Its Cost in a Rail Transit Network

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  • Jie Liu

    (School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China
    Faculty of Transportation Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China)

  • Paul Schonfeld

    (A. James Clark School of Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20740, USA)

  • Jinqu Chen

    (School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China)

  • Yong Yin

    (School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China)

  • Qiyuan Peng

    (School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China)

Abstract

Time reliability in a Rail Transit Network (RTN) is usually measured according to clock-based trip time, while the travel conditions such as travel comfort and convenience cannot be reflected by clock-based trip time. Here, the crowding level of trains, seat availability, and transfer times are considered to compute passengers’ Perceived Trip Time (PTT). Compared with the average PTT, the extra PTT needed for arriving reliably, which equals the 95th percentile PTT minus the average PTT, is converted into the monetary cost for estimating Perceived Time Reliability Cost (PTRC). The ratio of extra PTT needed for arriving reliably to the average PTT referring to the buffer time index is proposed to measure Perceived Time Reliability (PTR). To overcome the difficulty of obtaining passengers’ PTT who travel among rail transit modes, a Monte Carlo simulation is applied to generated passengers’ PTT for computing PTR and PTRC. A case study of Chengdu’s RTN shows that the proposed metrics and method measure the PTR and PTRC in an RTN effectively. PTTR, PTRC, and influential factors have significant linear relations among them, and the obtained linear regression models among them can guide passengers to travel reliably.

Suggested Citation

  • Jie Liu & Paul Schonfeld & Jinqu Chen & Yong Yin & Qiyuan Peng, 2021. "Perceived Trip Time Reliability and Its Cost in a Rail Transit Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-22, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:13:p:7504-:d:588929
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    References listed on IDEAS

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