IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i12p6707-d574170.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Causal Nexus between Sci-Tech Talent and Economic Growth in the Pan-Yangtze River Delta of China

Author

Listed:
  • Chenhui Hu

    (College of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, China)

  • Haining Jiang

    (College of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, China)

Abstract

Spatial coupling analysis, cointegration, and the Granger causality test model were adapted from a geographical perspective to analyse the relationship between sci-tech talent and economic growth, as well as their spatial differences in the Pan-Yangtze River Delta from 1998 to 2019. The results demonstrate that the sci-tech talent centre of gravity and economic centre of gravity are close to each other, showing as two parallel chains, and there is higher spatial overlap and variation consistency between centres of gravity. Sci-tech talent and economic growth are in a long-term relationship of equilibrium, showing a better fitting cointegration equation, in which the latter affects the former. Shanghai has the greatest elasticity, with a 2.119 coefficient of sci-tech talent, while Zhejiang has the smallest elasticity with a coefficient of 0.859. There are differences in the causal nexus between sci-tech talent and economic growth. Economic growth has a unidirectional effect on sci-tech talent in Shanghai and Jiangsu while sci-tech talent has a unidirectional effect on economic growth in Zhejiang. There is a bidirectional effect between sci-tech talent and economic growth in Anhui. There is also a unidirectional effect from economic growth to sci-tech talent in the entire Pan-Yangtze River Delta.

Suggested Citation

  • Chenhui Hu & Haining Jiang, 2021. "Causal Nexus between Sci-Tech Talent and Economic Growth in the Pan-Yangtze River Delta of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-18, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:12:p:6707-:d:574170
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/12/6707/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/12/6707/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ha, Wei & Yi, Junjian & Zhang, Junsen, 2016. "Brain drain, brain gain, and economic growth in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 322-337.
    2. Henderson, J V, 1974. "The Sizes and Types of Cities," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 64(4), pages 640-656, September.
    3. Jesse M. Shapiro, 2006. "Smart Cities: Quality of Life, Productivity, and the Growth Effects of Human Capital," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 88(2), pages 324-335, May.
    4. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    5. Everett Lee, 1966. "A theory of migration," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 3(1), pages 47-57, March.
    6. Doug Fuller, 2010. "China's Emerging Technological Edge: Assessing the Role of High‐End Talent – By Denis Fred Simon and Cong Cao," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 27(3), pages 333-334, May.
    7. Holtz-Eakin, Douglas & Newey, Whitney & Rosen, Harvey S, 1988. "Estimating Vector Autoregressions with Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(6), pages 1371-1395, November.
    8. Krugman, Paul, 1991. "Increasing Returns and Economic Geography," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(3), pages 483-499, June.
    9. Kancs, d’Artis & Siliverstovs, Boriss, 2016. "R&D and non-linear productivity growth," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 634-646.
    10. Chun-Li Tsai & Ming-Cheng Hung & Kevin Harriott, 2010. "Human Capital Composition and Economic Growth," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 99(1), pages 41-59, October.
    11. Henk F. Moed & Gali Halevi, 2014. "A bibliometric approach to tracking international scientific migration," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 101(3), pages 1987-2001, December.
    12. Hansen, Bruce E., 1999. "Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: Estimation, testing, and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 345-368, December.
    13. Grogger, Jeffrey & Hanson, Gordon H., 2011. "Income maximization and the selection and sorting of international migrants," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 42-57, May.
    14. Huasheng Song & Min Zhang & Ruqu Wang, 2016. "Amenities and spatial talent distribution: evidence from the Chinese IT industry," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 9(3), pages 517-533.
    15. Howitt, Peter & Aghion, Philippe, 1998. "Capital Accumulation and Innovation as Complementary Factors in Long-Run Growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 111-130, June.
    16. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
    17. Fagerberg, Jan, 1994. "Technology and International Differences in Growth Rates," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 1147-1175, September.
    18. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    19. Zhang, Zhen & Wang, Minggang & Xu, Hua & Zhang, Wenbin & Tian, Lixin, 2018. "Research on the co-movement between high-end talent and economic growth: A complex network approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 1216-1225.
    20. Haining Jiang & Wenzhong Zhang & Jian Duan, 2020. "Location Choice of Overseas High-Level Young Returned Talents in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-16, November.
    21. Marco Di Cintio & Emanuele Grassi, 2013. "Internal migration and wages of Italian university graduates," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 92(1), pages 119-140, March.
    22. Kaldor, Nicholas, 1972. "The Irrelevance of Equilibrium Economics," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 82(328), pages 1237-1255, December.
    23. Park, Jungsoo, 2006. "Dispersion of human capital and economic growth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 520-539, September.
    24. Changqing Luo & Siyuan Fan & Qi Zhang, 2017. "Investigating the Influence of Green Credit on Operational Efficiency and Financial Performance Based on Hybrid Econometric Models," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, November.
    25. Theofanis P. Mamuneas & Andreas Savvides & Thanasis Stengos, 2006. "Economic development and the return to human capital: a smooth coefficient semiparametric approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 111-132, January.
    26. Geuna, Aldo (ed.), 2015. "Global Mobility of Research Scientists," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780128013960.
    27. Antonio Russo & Alan Quaglieri Domínguez, 2012. "The nexus between creative workforce and economic development: looking for the causal relation," ERSA conference papers ersa12p364, European Regional Science Association.
    28. Alessandro Crociata & Massimiliano Agovino & Antonio Russo & Alan Quaglieri Domínguez, 2018. "Creative Workforce and Economic Development in Precrisis Europe," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 41(4), pages 448-479, July.
    29. Jacob Mincer, 1958. "Investment in Human Capital and Personal Income Distribution," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66(4), pages 281-281.
    30. Romer, Paul M., 1990. "Human capital and growth: Theory and evidence," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 251-286, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Xiaobei & Wang, Xiaojun, 2021. "Measures of human capital and the mechanics of economic growth," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Bloom, David E. & Canning, David & Kotschy, Rainer & Prettner, Klaus & Schünemann, Johannes, 2024. "Health and economic growth: Reconciling the micro and macro evidence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    3. Adelaide Duarte & Marta Simões & João Sousa Andrade, 2014. "Estado Social, Quantis, Não-Linearidades e Desempenho Económico: Uma Avaliação Empírica," GEMF Working Papers 2014-21, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    4. Christos N. Pitelis, 2011. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Integration," Chapters, in: Miroslav N. Jovanović (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Integration, Volume III, chapter 1, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Ooft, Gavin & Eckhorst, Karel, 2013. "Human Capital Development and Economic Growth in Suriname," EconStor Preprints 215530, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    6. Ali, Amjad & Ur Rehman, Hafeez, 2015. "Macroeconomic Instability and Its Impact on Gross Domestic Product: An Empirical Analysis of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 71037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Audi, Marc & Ali, Amjad, 2017. "Socio-Economic Development, Demographic Changes And Total Labor Productivity In Pakistan: A Co-Integrational and Decomposition Analysis," MPRA Paper 82435, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2017.
    8. Özgür ERSİN & Ayfer USTABAŞ & Tuğçe ACAR, 2022. "The Nonlinear Effects of High Technology Exports, R&D and Patents on Economic Growth: A Panel Threshold Approach to 35 OECD Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 26-44, April.
    9. Kashif Munir & Shahzad Arshad, 2018. "Factor accumulation and economic growth in Pakistan: incorporating human capital," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(3), pages 480-491, March.
    10. Laabas, Belkacem & Weshah, Razzak, 2011. "Economic Growth and The Quality of Human Capital," MPRA Paper 28727, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Manuel Madrid-Aris, 1997. "Growth and Technological Change in Cuba," Annual Proceedings, The Association for the Study of the Cuban Economy, vol. 7.
    12. Hajamini, Mehdi & Falahi, Mohammad Ali, 2018. "Economic growth and government size in developed European countries: A panel threshold approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-13.
    13. Herbst, Mikolaj & Rok, Jakub, 2013. "Mobility of human capital and its effect on regional economic development. Review of theory and empirical literature," MPRA Paper 45755, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Ng, Choy Peng & Law, Teik Hua & Wong, Shaw Voon & Kulanthayan, S., 2017. "Relative improvements in road mobility as compared to improvements in road accessibility and economic growth: A cross-country analysis," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 24-33.
    15. Kaies Samet, 2010. "The creative intelligence," Working paper serie RMT - Grenoble Ecole de Management hal-00512539, HAL.
    16. Joao Sousa Andrade & Marta Simões & Adelaide Duarte, 2016. "A thresholds analysis of growth, convergence and structural change in the EU: insights for Portugal," EcoMod2016 9690, EcoMod.
    17. Mohammad Mafizur Rahman & Xuan-Binh (Benjamin) Vu & Son Nghiem, 2022. "Economic Growth in Six ASEAN Countries: Are Energy, Human Capital and Financial Development Playing Major Roles?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-17, April.
    18. Edward L. Glaeser & Joshua D. Gottlieb, 2009. "The Wealth of Cities: Agglomeration Economies and Spatial Equilibrium in the United States," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(4), pages 983-1028, December.
    19. Gilles Duranton, 2008. "Viewpoint: From cities to productivity and growth in developing countries," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(3), pages 689-736, August.
    20. Pavel Ciaian & d'Artis Kancs, 2015. "Assessing the Social and Macroeconomic Impacts of Labour Market Integration: A Holistic Approach," JRC Research Reports JRC99645, Joint Research Centre.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:12:p:6707-:d:574170. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.