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Forecasting PM 10 in the Bay of Algeciras Based on Regression Models

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  • José Carlos Palomares-Salas

    (Research Group PAIDI-TIC-168, Computational Instrumentation and Industrial Electronics (ICEI), Area of Electronics, University of Cádiz, Higher Polytechnic School, Av. Ramón Puyol S/N, E-11202 Algeciras, Spain
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Juan José González-de-la-Rosa

    (Research Group PAIDI-TIC-168, Computational Instrumentation and Industrial Electronics (ICEI), Area of Electronics, University of Cádiz, Higher Polytechnic School, Av. Ramón Puyol S/N, E-11202 Algeciras, Spain
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Agustín Agüera-Pérez

    (Research Group PAIDI-TIC-168, Computational Instrumentation and Industrial Electronics (ICEI), Area of Electronics, University of Cádiz, Higher Polytechnic School, Av. Ramón Puyol S/N, E-11202 Algeciras, Spain
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • José María Sierra-Fernández

    (Research Group PAIDI-TIC-168, Computational Instrumentation and Industrial Electronics (ICEI), Area of Electronics, University of Cádiz, Higher Polytechnic School, Av. Ramón Puyol S/N, E-11202 Algeciras, Spain
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Olivia Florencias-Oliveros

    (Research Group PAIDI-TIC-168, Computational Instrumentation and Industrial Electronics (ICEI), Area of Electronics, University of Cádiz, Higher Polytechnic School, Av. Ramón Puyol S/N, E-11202 Algeciras, Spain
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

Abstract

Different forecasting methodologies, classified into parametric and nonparametric, were studied in order to predict the average concentration of P M 10 over the course of 24 h. The comparison of the forecasting models was based on four quality indexes (Pearson’s correlation coefficient, the index of agreement, the mean absolute error, and the root mean squared error). The proposed experimental procedure was put into practice in three urban centers belonging to the Bay of Algeciras (Andalusia, Spain). The prediction results obtained with the proposed models exceed those obtained with the reference models through the introduction of low-quality measurements as exogenous information. This proves that it is possible to improve performance by using additional information from the existing nonlinear relationships between the concentration of the pollutants and the meteorological variables.

Suggested Citation

  • José Carlos Palomares-Salas & Juan José González-de-la-Rosa & Agustín Agüera-Pérez & José María Sierra-Fernández & Olivia Florencias-Oliveros, 2019. "Forecasting PM 10 in the Bay of Algeciras Based on Regression Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-13, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:4:p:968-:d:205741
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    References listed on IDEAS

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